Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-119
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-135
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		35.4%
34.5%		30.1%
+227
+151
+235
+150
1
0		-1.22598-1.25716-1.03914
Santa Clara
Vitoria		18.0%
58.5%		23.6%
+351
+100
+350
+100
0
2		-0.73255-0.74202-0.53661
Famalicao
Arouca		34.2%
36.8%		29.0%
+168
+185
+180
+180
2
1		-1.02262-1.08152-1.07227
Estoril
AVS		26.7%
45.3%		28.0%
+138
+219
+145
+215
3
0		-0.91694-0.94317-1.31882
SC Farense
Benfica		3.4%
87.5%		9.1%
+1568
-646
+1700
-725
2
3		-0.18320-0.17860-0.13304
Gil Vicente FC
Boavista		33.3%
37.3%		29.3%
+144
+225
+140
+225
3
1		-0.93334-0.92637-1.09910
Vitoria
Moreirense		36.8%
33.8%		29.5%
+122
+276
+110
+280
2
2		-1.17189-1.21372-1.22217
Porto
Estoril		74.5%
8.9%		16.6%
-172
+522
-175
+510
2
1		-0.49240-0.50106-0.29488
AVS
Famalicao		14.7%
64.7%		20.6%
+426
-143
+460
-150
1
4		-0.58144-0.56203-0.43595
Nacional
Santa Clara		19.7%
56.3%		24.0%
+400
-119
+445
-135
0
1		-0.64023-0.60508-0.57391
Arouca
Braga		9.2%
74.1%		16.7%
+432
-139
+440
-155
1
2		-0.56891-0.54611-0.30009
Sporting CP
Estrela		69.9%
11.5%		18.6%
-303
+862
-325
+940
3
0		-0.33470-0.31832-0.35842
Rio Ave
Casa Pia AC		20.4%
54.0%		25.6%
+344
-105
+300
+100
1
2		-0.69677-0.74051-0.61626
Benfica
Gil Vicente FC		74.9%
9.0%		16.1%
-289
+840
-260
+725
3
0		-0.33652-0.37589-0.28916
Estrela
Vitoria		13.8%
65.5%		20.7%
+561
-170
+630
-180
0
2		-0.51184-0.49073-0.42320
Boavista
Moreirense		12.5%
67.7%		19.8%
+462
-140
+400
-130
0
1		-0.58648-0.62021-0.39041
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).