Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estrela
Boavista		37.2%
33.6%		29.2%
+215
+163
+220
+140
1
0		-1.17905-1.21362-0.98921
Rio Ave
Arouca		23.5%
48.5%		27.9%
+288
+107
+290
+105
1
1		-1.25390-1.22926-1.27550
Estrela
Casa Pia AC		25.3%
47.7%		27.0%
+340
-105
+360
-115
0
1		-0.70546-0.67525-0.74049
Gil Vicente FC
Braga		6.8%
79.4%		13.8%
+417
-147
+410
-150
0
2		-0.55862-0.55890-0.23047
Boavista
Estoril		22.8%
51.0%		26.2%
+524
-164
+475
-170
1
2		-0.50587-0.51184-0.67332
Vitoria
Famalicao		34.2%
37.5%		28.3%
+137
+234
+150
+210
0
0		-1.18329-1.16437-1.26121
Moreirense
Benfica		6.3%
80.7%		13.0%
+1337
-498
+1275
-510
2
3		-0.22231-0.22941-0.21501
Santa Clara
AVS		37.2%
33.4%		29.3%
+133
+278
+125
+280
2
1		-0.88370-0.86204-0.98752
Sporting CP
Porto		31.1%
41.0%		27.9%
+160
+188
+160
+185
1
1		-1.19333-1.19902-1.27658
Porto
Rio Ave		70.0%
11.0%		19.0%
-226
+644
-295
+775
2
2		-1.58890-1.70854-1.66099
Braga
Moreirense		50.4%
24.0%		25.6%
+142
+224
+105
+270
2
1		-0.90570-0.76873-0.68506
Benfica
Estrela		70.4%
11.5%		18.1%
-520
+1200
-500
+1200
3
2		-0.23177-0.23216-0.35055
SC Farense
Sporting CP		3.1%
88.0%		8.9%
+1562
-575
+1600
-725
1
3		-0.21204-0.17678-0.12825
AVS
Vitoria		9.1%
74.0%		16.9%
+521
-175
+540
-185
0
2		-0.50316-0.48023-0.30127
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		21.9%
51.9%		26.3%
+292
+117
+295
+115
2
1		-1.40092-1.42404-1.52069
Casa Pia AC
Santa Clara		24.5%
48.8%		26.6%
+308
+114
+305
+110
1
2		-0.79720-0.79164-0.71674
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).