Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arouca
Nacional		31.8%
39.2%		29.0%
+223
+138
+220
+140
2
1		-1.21200-1.21362-1.14681
Famalicao
Boavista		47.3%
26.6%		26.1%
+112
+274
+120
+255
2
0		-0.79003-0.83605-0.74817
Gil Vicente FC
AVS		34.9%
35.0%		30.1%
+132
+240
+140
+225
0
1		-1.27543-1.22956-1.04954
Boavista
Braga		6.6%
80.2%		13.2%
+796
-335
+1050
-400
0
3		-0.31976-0.27278-0.22115
Santa Clara
Porto		5.9%
81.2%		12.9%
+481
-149
+535
-165
1
1		-1.35232-1.35751-2.04725
Vitoria
Estoril		55.3%
19.8%		24.9%
-113
+345
-120
+350
0
1		-1.52763-1.55225-1.61823
Nacional
Sporting CP		3.3%
88.2%		8.5%
+1211
-588
+1175
-600
0
2		-0.21149-0.20281-0.12536
Benfica
Casa Pia AC		69.7%
11.9%		18.4%
-258
+746
-280
+775
1
3		-2.17463-2.21889-2.13191
Rio Ave
SC Farense		31.0%
38.5%		30.5%
+215
+145
+235
+135
2
1		-1.18767-1.25956-1.17215
Estrela
Famalicao		22.5%
52.8%		24.7%
+409
-127
+385
-120
0
0		-1.30390-1.25787-1.39877
Moreirense
Arouca		36.0%
33.8%		30.2%
+228
+140
+215
+135
0
1		-0.91469-0.90387-1.08545
Casa Pia AC
Boavista		34.4%
36.3%		29.3%
+108
+300
+110
+305
3
2		-0.77851-0.79164-1.06746
Porto
Gil Vicente FC		66.9%
12.9%		20.1%
-215
+626
-220
+625
1
3		-2.02215-2.02997-2.04686
Braga
Estrela		53.0%
22.2%		24.7%
-133
+367
-120
+320
1
0		-0.60570-0.65514-0.63399
AVS
Nacional		24.1%
49.9%		25.9%
+311
+102
+320
+105
1
3		-0.75177-0.76520-0.69457
Arouca
Vitoria		13.3%
65.6%		21.1%
+428
-138
+500
-170
2
2		-1.34508-1.42205-1.55737
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).