Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-124
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-137
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Arouca		40.5%
30.2%		29.2%
+165
+190
+160
+185
2
3		-1.10262-1.09419-1.19653
Tondela
Estoril		20.7%
54.4%		24.9%
+370
-135
+390
-150
2
2		-1.42283-1.44847-1.39062
Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense		42.0%
28.2%		29.7%
+112
+300
+115
+280
2
1		-0.79675-0.81507-0.86721
Santa Clara
Estrela		44.9%
27.3%		27.7%
-107
+355
-105
+345
0
1		-1.56691-1.54113-1.29711
Porto
Casa Pia AC		79.4%
6.6%		13.9%
-385
+1300
-410
+1150
1
2		-2.67047-2.57505-2.71402
Braga
AVS		65.2%
13.4%		21.4%
-294
+1000
-330
+980
4
0		-0.31152-0.31397-0.42737
Benfica
Tondela		76.5%
8.5%		15.0%
-345
+1000
-360
+1025
0
0		-1.78856-1.77160-1.89725
Nacional
Sporting CP		4.8%
84.1%		11.0%
+1600
-667
+2400
-1075
1
2		-0.17284-0.13786-0.17300
Famalicao
Gil Vicente FC		32.9%
38.7%		28.5%
+180
+185
+185
+175
0
5		-1.08889-1.05834-0.95016
Estrela
Alverca		24.5%
48.9%		26.6%
+400
-103
+330
+100
1
1		-1.19145-1.19620-1.32388
Arouca
Rio Ave		29.0%
41.1%		29.9%
+140
+224
+135
+225
3
0		-0.90884-0.90387-1.23787
Estoril
Santa Clara		24.4%
49.7%		25.8%
+260
+128
+255
+125
4
2		-1.31323-1.31449-1.41022
Moreirense
Vitoria		19.6%
57.2%		23.1%
+385
-114
+350
-115
0
1		-0.66227-0.67566-0.55835
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		7.1%
78.3%		14.7%
+800
-263
+775
-265
0
3		-0.36321-0.36976-0.24520
Alverca
Braga		8.5%
76.0%		15.5%
+650
-217
+550
-200
0
5		-0.41597-0.45463-0.27449
Tondela
Famalicao		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+525
-169
+510
-180
0
3		-0.48809-0.49127-0.35284
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).