Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rio Ave
Vitoria		19.2%
57.5%		23.3%
+445
-148
+420
-130
0
2		-0.57632-0.62090-0.55412
Moreirense
Benfica		5.2%
83.7%		11.1%
+1800
-950
+2000
-950
1
4		-0.15589-0.15114-0.17801
Arouca
Alverca		30.0%
40.4%		29.5%
+245
+113
+235
+125
1
2		-0.80820-0.86034-0.90604
Braga
Casa Pia AC		62.3%
16.3%		21.4%
-169
+480
-165
+460
1
0		-0.52032-0.52373-0.47345
Estoril
Moreirense		28.8%
42.4%		28.7%
+164
+173
+155
+180
0
1		-1.05131-1.08063-0.85762
Tondela
Porto		4.2%
85.6%		10.2%
+1900
-667
+2200
-650
0
2		-0.19301-0.19097-0.15558
Famalicao
Braga		21.9%
54.6%		23.5%
+295
-108
+310
-110
2
2		-1.30926-1.31517-1.44800
Benfica
Sporting CP		28.8%
45.0%		26.1%
+265
-101
+255
+105
2
1		-1.35507-1.31684-1.24330
Estrela
Arouca		24.6%
49.1%		26.3%
+270
+124
+280
+120
0
1		-0.85529-0.83822-0.71129
Vitoria
Gil Vicente FC		33.0%
37.4%		29.5%
+310
+100
+305
+100
1
0		-1.46132-1.44745-1.10715
Santa Clara
Casa Pia AC		46.9%
26.5%		26.6%
+125
+260
+125
+270
0
0		-1.15268-1.14555-1.32441
Alverca
Nacional		30.0%
44.0%		25.9%
+220
+116
+210
+125
0
1		-0.82570-0.86232-0.82028
AVS
Rio Ave		20.6%
52.6%		26.9%
+380
-147
+400
-150
2
2		-1.41915-1.43511-1.31412
Gil Vicente FC
Tondela		47.8%
24.2%		28.0%
-115
+340
-120
+400
2
2		-1.25706-1.24126-1.27375
Porto
Estoril		64.2%
14.7%		21.1%
-250
+625
-280
+700
3
1		-0.39943-0.35466-0.44340
Arouca
Braga		11.4%
69.9%		18.7%
+625
-233
+700
-245
0
1		-0.41759-0.39127-0.35793
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).