Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 19, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Estoril
24.3%
47.3%
28.4%
+258
+120
+250
+115
0.86
1.31
2.17
o2¼-105
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 18, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Braga
41.7%
30.9%
27.5%
-105
+316
-110
+305
3
3
-1.31085-1.31800-1.29240
Casa Pia AC
Santa Clara
19.4%
56.3%
24.3%
+269
+121
+260
+115
0
0
-1.19412-1.22799-1.41325
Maritimo
Porto
3.5%
86.9%
9.7%
+1750
-565
+1550
-600
1
5
-0.19261-0.20397-0.14079
Famalicao
Estoril
30.3%
41.9%
27.9%
+198
+175
+195
+160
0
2
-1.03313-1.00570-0.87048
FC Vizela
Rio Ave
25.5%
47.4%
27.0%
+279
+140
+220
+135
1
0
-1.32051-1.21244-1.36461
Arouca
Benfica
3.2%
88.9%
7.9%
+2038
-675
+1750
-700
0
4
-0.17678-0.18617-0.11749
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 08/15/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Porto (2-0-0, 6 pts)21.85.56.872.147.9%75.5%22.6%0.0%
2Benfica (2-0-0, 6 pts)20.46.47.268.425.1%55.9%39.9%0.0%
3Vitoria (2-0-0, 6 pts)14.310.88.951.90.4%2.3%19.5%0.4%
4Boavista (2-0-0, 6 pts)12.412.98.745.90.0%0.2%6.3%3.3%
5Sporting CP (1-0-1, 4 pts)19.96.08.167.824.0%54.3%39.2%0.0%
6Braga (1-0-1, 4 pts)16.38.39.458.32.6%10.7%55.0%0.0%
7Portimonense (1-1-0, 3 pts)11.314.08.742.60.0%0.1%3.2%8.1%
8Estoril (1-1-0, 3 pts)10.714.58.740.90.0%0.0%0.6%10.2%
9Gil Vicente FC (1-1-0, 3 pts)12.213.18.745.20.0%0.5%5.1%3.8%
10FC Vizela (1-1-0, 3 pts)10.514.68.940.40.0%0.1%1.4%13.5%
11Chaves (1-1-0, 3 pts)10.215.38.539.00.0%0.0%1.1%16.9%
12Arouca (1-1-0, 3 pts)9.416.18.436.70.0%0.0%0.7%27.1%
13Santa Clara (0-1-1, 1 pts)10.214.09.940.40.0%0.2%1.4%11.3%
14Casa Pia AC (0-1-1, 1 pts)9.115.29.737.00.0%0.0%0.4%23.3%
15Pacos (0-2-0, 0 pts)9.915.58.738.30.0%0.0%1.1%21.8%
16Rio Ave (0-2-0, 0 pts)9.815.68.638.10.0%0.2%0.7%19.8%
17Famalicao (0-2-0, 0 pts)10.514.68.840.40.0%0.0%1.7%15.5%
18Maritimo (0-2-0, 0 pts)9.415.98.736.80.0%0.0%0.1%25.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).