Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 28 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/09/2024 03:30 PM	SC Farense FC Vizela	23.1% 50.2%	26.8%	+242 +124 +235 +120	1 2	-0.83806-0.83873	-0.68941
03/08/2024 08:45 PM	Casa Pia AC Estrela	24.2% 49.2%	26.5%	+239 +145 +230 +140	1 3	-0.93194-0.92712	-0.70889
03/08/2024 06:45 PM	Porto Portimonense	71.8% 9.9%	18.3%	-438 +1300 -400 +1050	3 0	-0.23506-0.27278	-0.33066
03/04/2024 08:15 PM	Boavista Famalicao	23.1% 52.1%	24.8%	+275 +120 +280 +110	1 1	-1.19630-1.21372	-1.39412
03/03/2024 08:30 PM	Benfica Porto	32.1% 40.3%	27.6%	+209 +138 +195 +140	0 5	-0.89617-0.92402	-0.90867
03/03/2024 06:00 PM	SC Farense Sporting CP	4.2% 85.0%	10.8%	+1914 -706 +2250 -1100	2 3	-0.16449-0.13592	-0.16284
03/03/2024 03:30 PM	FC Vizela Portimonense	30.7% 39.5%	29.8%	+199 +156 +190 +155	0 0	-1.21949-1.21147	-1.21009
03/03/2024 03:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Casa Pia AC	31.3% 39.4%	29.3%	+196 +170 +195 +165	0 0	-1.15728-1.14709	-1.22854
03/02/2024 08:30 PM	Estrela Braga	6.9% 79.3%	13.8%	+750 -275 +800 -310	0 3	-0.34736-0.32903	-0.23241
03/02/2024 06:00 PM	Vitoria Estoril	44.6% 27.4%	28.0%	+145 +209 +125 +225	3 1	-0.92083-0.86034	-0.80694
03/02/2024 03:30 PM	Rio Ave Moreirense	25.6% 46.3%	28.1%	+239 +140 +260 +130	0 0	-1.16286-1.13206	-1.27018
03/01/2024 08:15 PM	Arouca Chaves	39.4% 30.9%	29.6%	+120 +237 +120 +235	5 1	-0.82244-0.83873	-0.93019
02/26/2024 08:15 PM	Braga Boavista	59.6% 18.0%	22.5%	-135 +397 -140 +375	4 0	-0.58589-0.58805	-0.51777
02/25/2024 08:30 PM	Sporting CP Rio Ave	67.2% 12.6%	20.3%	-416 +1450 -425 +1200	3 3	-1.87627-1.85745	-1.59682
02/25/2024 06:00 PM	Portimonense Benfica	3.4% 87.2%	9.3%	+2400 -927 +2175 -1100	0 4	-0.13918-0.13726	-0.13673
02/25/2024 06:00 PM	Porto Gil Vicente FC	68.1% 12.3%	19.6%	-209 +615 -225 +625	1 1	-1.55225-1.55519	-1.62882

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).