Casa Pia AC at Estrela

Updated

Casa Pia AC

24.2%26.5%49.2%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawEstrela Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.46
1Final Score 3

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+165
W 2-0 at Vitoria+590
W 0-1 vs Arouca+195
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+290
T 0-0 vs Boavista+105
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-3 at Braga+800
T 1-1 vs Chaves-110
L 0-2 at Porto+1400
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-105
L 0-1 at Estoril+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+200-+220+232+239+232+239+248.6
Estrela+155-+145+142+142+142+145+154.1
Draw+195-+185+198+200+198+200+212.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+225----+230+230+248.6
Estrela+145----+140+140+154.1
Draw+200----+200+200+212.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +239 to +231
Estrela ML moved from +145 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +245 to +230
Estrela ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2-112o2-107o2-106o2-107o2-106o2+103
Underu2¼-115-u2-108u2-113u2-112u2-113u2-108u2-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+103
Under-----u2-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.48%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.87%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 039.22%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.18%
Exactly 35.36%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 023.30%
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 312.00%
Exactly 44.37%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.03%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 064.84%
Exactly 128.09%
Exactly 26.09%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 050.95%
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 211.59%
Exactly 32.60%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals8.32%
Wins by 3+ goals2.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals24.44%
Wins by 3+ goals9.52%
Wins by 4+ goals2.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal15.87%
Wins by 2 goals6.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal24.70%
Wins by 2 goals14.93%
Wins by 3 goals6.55%
Wins by 4 goals2.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.86%9.14%
1.568.99%31.01%
2.542.83%57.17%
3.521.97%78.03%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.78%39.22%
1.524.07%75.93%
2.56.89%93.11%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.70%23.30%
1.542.75%57.25%
2.518.03%81.97%
3.56.03%93.97%
4.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.97%33.03%
1.530.38%69.62%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Estrela
Score012345
0
9.14%
13.31%
9.70%
4.71%
1.71%
0.50%
1
8.55%
12.46%
9.07%
4.41%
1.60%
0.47%
2
4.00%
5.83%
4.25%
2.06%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.25%
1.82%
1.32%
0.64%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.29%
0.43%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
Casa Pia AC
1-08.55%
2-04.00%
2-15.83%
3-01.25%
3-11.82%
3-21.32%
4-00.29%
4-10.43%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.14%
1-112.46%
2-24.25%
3-30.64%
Estrela
0-113.31%
0-29.70%
1-29.07%
0-34.71%
1-34.41%
2-32.06%
0-41.71%
1-41.60%
2-40.75%
3-40.23%
0-50.50%
1-50.47%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Estrela
Score01234
0
33.03%
22.28%
7.51%
1.69%
0.28%
1
14.31%
9.65%
3.25%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.10%
2.09%
0.71%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-014.31%
2-03.10%
2-12.09%
3-00.45%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.03%
1-19.65%
2-20.71%
Estrela
0-122.28%
0-27.51%
1-23.25%
0-31.69%
1-30.73%
2-30.16%
0-40.28%
1-40.12%
Porto at Portimonense
SC Farense at FC Vizela