Arouca at Chaves

Updated

Arouca

39.4%29.6%30.9%
Arouca WinDrawChaves Win
1.14Projected Goals 0.98
5Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Famalicao+130
L 0-1 at Casa Pia AC+160
W 2-3 vs Porto+675
W 2-1 at Portimonense+100
W 0-5 vs FC Vizela-120
Chaves
Money Line
T 1-1 at Estrela+330
W 1-2 vs Boavista+180
L 0-1 at Moreirense+380
T 1-1 vs SC Farense+135
T 1-1 at Braga+850

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+100+119+120+118+117+118+120+128.7
Chaves+275+237+220+230+236+230+237+246.2
Draw+235+248+230+248+253+248+253+265.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+120----+120+120+128.7
Chaves+235----+235+235+246.2
Draw+235----+235+235+265.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +125 to +118
Chaves ML moved from +210 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-106o2½-105o2½-106o2½-102o2½-106o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2½-122u2½-110u2½-115u2½-114u2½-116u2½-114u2½-110u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.95%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 410.14%
Exactly 61.53%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.38%
Exactly 319.10%
Exactly 54.31%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 031.80%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 037.57%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.00%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.39%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 41.46%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 058.83%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 063.55%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 26.53%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals16.39%
Wins by 3+ goals5.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals11.29%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Chaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals11.22%
Wins by 3 goals3.93%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal19.60%
Wins by 2 goals8.19%
Wins by 3 goals2.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.05%11.95%
1.562.67%37.33%
2.535.70%64.30%
3.516.61%83.39%
4.56.46%93.54%
5.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.20%31.80%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.43%37.57%
1.525.65%74.35%
2.57.65%92.35%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.61%37.39%
1.525.83%74.17%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Chaves
Score01234
0
11.95%
11.70%
5.72%
1.87%
0.46%
1
13.69%
13.40%
6.56%
2.14%
0.52%
2
7.84%
7.68%
3.76%
1.23%
0.30%
3
2.99%
2.93%
1.44%
0.47%
0.11%
4
0.86%
0.84%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Arouca
1-013.69%
2-07.84%
2-17.68%
3-02.99%
3-12.93%
3-21.44%
4-00.86%
4-10.84%
4-20.41%
4-30.13%
5-00.20%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-011.95%
1-113.40%
2-23.76%
3-30.47%
Chaves
0-111.70%
0-25.72%
1-26.56%
0-31.87%
1-32.14%
2-31.23%
0-40.46%
1-40.52%
2-40.30%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Chaves
Score0123
0
37.39%
16.95%
3.84%
0.58%
1
19.84%
8.99%
2.04%
0.31%
2
5.26%
2.38%
0.54%
0.08%
3
0.93%
0.42%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-019.84%
2-05.26%
2-12.38%
3-00.93%
3-10.42%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-037.39%
1-18.99%
2-20.54%
Chaves
0-116.95%
0-23.84%
1-22.04%
0-30.58%
1-30.31%