Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela 		46.2%
25.4%		28.3%
-125
+355
-125
+370
1.30
0.89		2.19
o2¼-108
u2¼-112

Porto
Benfica 		23.7%
51.5%		24.8%
+290
+112
+285
+105
1.01
1.62		2.63
o2¼+109
u2¼-129

Vitoria
Santa Clara 		34.8%
36.4%		28.8%
+224
+156
+210
+150
1.10
1.14		2.24
o2-114
u2-106

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estrela
SC Farense		27.8%
43.5%		28.7%
+265
+110
+245
+110
0
0		-1.29828-1.30328-1.24935
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		22.7%
50.9%		26.4%
+125
+235
+120
+225
1
1		-1.27272-1.28913-1.33309
Chaves
Estoril		19.2%
56.2%		24.6%
+323
-112
+290
-110
0
4		-0.66491-0.69589-0.57567
Rio Ave
Arouca		27.7%
42.8%		29.5%
+305
+115
+275
+110
2
2		-1.20035-1.22799-1.22095
Boavista
Estrela		30.0%
41.8%		28.2%
+231
+125
+230
+120
1
3		-0.84190-0.83884-0.87120
Casa Pia AC
Porto		5.9%
81.3%		12.9%
+1300
-372
+1200
-450
1
3		-0.26398-0.25075-0.20741
Sporting CP
Vitoria		60.2%
17.2%		22.6%
-140
+400
-150
+390
2
3		-1.63985-1.63897-1.76288
Famalicao
Portimonense		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+197
+159
+185
+150
1
1		-1.23001-1.25716-1.22312
SC Farense
Benfica		3.2%
87.9%		8.8%
+1475
-524
+1425
-635
1
1		-2.15029-2.14892-2.42928
Braga
FC Vizela		56.3%
20.0%		23.7%
-162
+485
-185
+460
3
1		-0.49714-0.48323-0.57522
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		5.3%
82.4%		12.3%
+2050
-753
+1700
-750
1
3		-0.15211-0.17605-0.19396
Arouca
Boavista		22.4%
51.4%		26.1%
+195
+165
+210
+140
4
0		-1.10836-1.18185-1.49535
Benfica
Moreirense		74.7%
9.2%		16.1%
-198
+555
-215
+550
0
0		-1.57022-1.58704-1.82616
Estoril
Braga		9.2%
74.3%		16.5%
+560
-236
+600
-265
1
3		-0.38837-0.36963-0.29730
Portimonense
Casa Pia AC		20.5%
53.3%		26.2%
+325
-101
+290
-105
0
1		-0.70362-0.72194-0.62967
Porto
Famalicao		64.5%
15.1%		20.4%
-204
+640
-210
+625
3
0		-0.43436-0.43886-0.43869
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.37260 
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.36598 
DRatings30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.38811
-0.01551
-0.02214

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).