Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+290
+114
+285
+105
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-122
u2¼+105

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 10, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Braga		9.2%
74.3%		16.5%
+560
-236
+600
-265
1
3		-0.38837-0.36963-0.29730
Portimonense
Casa Pia AC		20.5%
53.3%		26.2%
+325
-101
+290
-105
0
1		-0.70362-0.72194-0.62967
Porto
Famalicao		64.5%
15.1%		20.4%
-204
+640
-210
+625
3
0		-0.43436-0.43886-0.43869
Estrela
Rio Ave		23.5%
49.3%		27.2%
+295
+105
+225
+120
1
1		-1.29342-1.28913-1.30221
Vitoria
SC Farense		43.2%
28.2%		28.6%
+120
+243
+125
+210
2
1		-0.80759-0.86232-0.83956
FC Vizela
Chaves		31.8%
39.3%		29.0%
+156
+195
+150
+185
1
2		-1.11042-1.09551-0.93463
Sporting CP
Benfica		23.3%
52.1%		24.6%
+187
+160
+165
+160
1
2		-0.98744-1.00605-0.65260
Braga
Arouca		60.7%
16.8%		22.5%
-135
+388
-145
+375
1
0		-0.57909-0.57556-0.49872
SC Farense
Boavista		24.3%
48.6%		27.0%
+280
-105
+270
+100
3
1		-1.37960-1.35899-1.41272
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC		21.5%
51.9%		26.6%
+245
+125
+260
+110
1
1		-1.25597-1.26012-1.32313
Porto
Vitoria		61.0%
16.6%		22.4%
-136
+406
-140
+390
2
1		-0.58426-0.58834-0.49453
Famalicao
FC Vizela		30.4%
42.3%		27.3%
+226
+136
+235
+130
0
0		-1.20962-1.19690-1.29671
Moreirense
Estrela		29.6%
42.0%		28.4%
+165
+170
+170
+165
1
0		-1.01145-1.04276-1.21763
Chaves
Portimonense		23.6%
48.9%		27.5%
+235
+125
+200
+135
1
2		-0.84567-0.90604-0.71556
Casa Pia AC
Estoril		26.4%
45.8%		27.7%
+208
+148
+195
+145
0
4		-0.94323-0.94505-0.78027
Arouca
SC Farense		23.7%
48.5%		27.8%
+214
+142
+200
+145
0
2		-0.91614-0.94410-0.72451
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14010 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14335 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.22166
-0.08156
-0.07830

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).