Arouca at Portimonense

Updated

Arouca

33.6%31.4%35.0%
Arouca WinDrawPortimonense Win
0.95Projected Goals 0.99
2Final Score 1

Portimonense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-5 vs FC Vizela-120
W 2-1 at Estoril+185
L 1-2 at Vitoria+360
L 3-0 vs Benfica+675
W 4-1 at Estrela+165
Portimonense
Money Line
W 4-1 at Boavista+295
L 2-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+155
W 0-1 vs SC Farense+165
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+375
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+850

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+165+106+105-102-102-102+106+107.9
Portimonense+165+268+260+280+285+280+285+298.9
Draw+220+254+235+255+260+255+260+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+145----+100+100+107.9
Portimonense+190----+275+275+298.9
Draw+235----+255+255+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +103 to -102
Portimonense ML moved from +271 to +265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +110 to +100
Portimonense ML moved from +255 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120o2½-109o2½-105o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-105o2½+102
Underu2¼+100u2½-107u2½-115u2½-112u2½-110u2½-112u2½-107u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.6%
 
No61.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.33%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 48.51%
Exactly 61.07%
 
Exactly 127.84%
Exactly 317.51%
Exactly 53.31%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 038.38%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 037.33%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.68%
Exactly 216.46%
Exactly 41.11%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 34.93%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 064.19%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 063.37%
Exactly 128.91%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals12.22%
Wins by 3+ goals3.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals13.07%
Wins by 3+ goals3.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Portimonense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals8.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal21.91%
Wins by 2 goals9.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.67%14.33%
1.557.83%42.17%
2.530.79%69.21%
3.513.27%86.73%
4.54.76%95.24%
5.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.62%38.38%
1.524.86%75.14%
2.57.27%92.73%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.67%37.33%
1.525.88%74.12%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.32%40.68%
1.522.73%77.27%
2.56.28%93.72%
3.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Portimonense
Score01234
0
14.33%
14.12%
6.96%
2.28%
0.56%
1
13.72%
13.52%
6.66%
2.19%
0.54%
2
6.57%
6.47%
3.19%
1.05%
0.26%
3
2.10%
2.07%
1.02%
0.33%
0.08%
4
0.50%
0.49%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Arouca
1-013.72%
2-06.57%
2-16.47%
3-02.10%
3-12.07%
3-21.02%
4-00.50%
4-10.49%
4-20.24%
Draw
0-014.33%
1-113.52%
2-23.19%
3-30.33%
Portimonense
0-114.12%
0-26.96%
1-26.66%
0-32.28%
1-32.19%
2-31.05%
0-40.56%
1-40.54%
2-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Portimonense
Score0123
0
40.68%
18.56%
4.23%
0.64%
1
18.03%
8.23%
1.88%
0.29%
2
4.00%
1.82%
0.42%
0.06%
3
0.59%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
Arouca
1-018.03%
2-04.00%
2-11.82%
3-00.59%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-040.68%
1-18.23%
2-20.42%
Portimonense
0-118.56%
0-24.23%
1-21.88%
0-30.64%
1-30.29%