Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Chaves		77.8%
7.5%		14.7%
-252
+836
-310
+900
3
1		-0.35361-0.33045-0.25066
Sporting CP
Portimonense		66.5%
12.7%		20.8%
-266
+872
-315
+900
1
0		-0.34455-0.32403-0.40731
FC Vizela
Estoril		32.3%
39.4%		28.3%
+178
+178
+180
+165
3
0		-1.05014-1.08028-1.13060
Braga
Vitoria		48.5%
25.7%		25.9%
-103
+318
+100
+290
1
2		-1.46616-1.41026-1.35938
Estoril
Sporting CP		5.9%
80.9%		13.3%
+1450
-463
+1650
-575
0
2		-0.22689-0.20898-0.21225
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		4.2%
85.2%		10.5%
+1630
-511
+1500
-620
2
1		-2.86963-2.82397-3.16439
Boavista
Pacos		29.8%
41.0%		29.2%
+185
+165
+185
+165
3
1		-1.09198-1.09688-1.21019
Chaves
Rio Ave		18.2%
57.1%		24.7%
+314
+107
+250
+115
0
1		-0.75044-0.81792-0.56082
Benfica
FC Vizela		70.2%
12.1%		17.7%
-241
+780
-300
+800
2
0		-0.36727-0.33798-0.35341
Santa Clara
Maritimo		23.4%
49.7%		26.9%
+280
+127
+280
+115
1
3		-0.85085-0.81507-0.69870
Casa Pia AC
Arouca		26.7%
45.5%		27.8%
+231
+142
+220
+145
0
2		-0.92098-0.94868-0.78708
Portimonense
Famalicao		20.0%
55.7%		24.3%
+390
-118
+380
-120
0
1		-0.64682-0.65710-0.58591
Boavista
Benfica		3.7%
87.0%		9.3%
+1900
-666
+1900
-725
1
3		-0.17606-0.17800-0.13885
Sporting CP
Chaves		70.1%
11.2%		18.6%
-270
+877
-285
+800
3
2		-0.34322-0.35085-0.35519
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC		29.9%
42.1%		28.0%
+235
+153
+215
+150
0
0		-1.13432-1.14819-1.27329
Arouca
Braga		9.1%
74.5%		16.4%
+714
-225
+640
-225
0
2		-0.39264-0.41620-0.29383
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).