Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-124
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-137
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Vitoria		64.7%
13.7%		21.6%
-227
+575
-230
+620
4
1		-0.42992-0.41066-0.43592
Famalicao
Benfica		8.3%
77.3%		14.4%
+725
-270
+820
-300
0
1		-0.36668-0.33570-0.25692
Porto
Alverca		74.0%
9.2%		16.7%
-300
+875
-300
+845
3
0		-0.34083-0.33647-0.30050
Arouca
Santa Clara		17.7%
58.3%		24.0%
+400
-126
+410
-125
0
0		-1.26348-1.25790-1.42645
Casa Pia AC
Tondela		18.6%
58.1%		23.3%
+240
+126
+260
+110
2
1		-1.27640-1.33207-1.68169
Nacional
AVS		31.4%
40.5%		28.1%
+162
+180
+165
+180
2
2		-1.24559-1.19806-1.26883
Moreirense
Estrela		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+180
+173
+185
+175
0
0		-1.16517-1.14536-1.23774
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+295
-118
+435
-150
2
2		-1.32988-1.38390-1.41840
Braga
Estoril		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-141
+380
-160
+430
0
1		-1.61415-1.71741-1.32961
Estrela
Porto		3.8%
86.4%		9.8%
+1600
-667
+1550
-625
1
3		-0.19963-0.19884-0.14665
Santa Clara
Braga		17.6%
60.0%		22.4%
+700
-230
+725
-220
0
1		-0.42204-0.42317-0.51068
Alverca
Arouca		20.4%
54.1%		25.5%
+132
+220
+145
+215
0
1		-1.22523-1.19448-0.61352
Benfica
Moreirense		73.7%
9.7%		16.6%
-244
+725
-275
+775
4
0		-0.38584-0.36057-0.30484
Estoril
Famalicao		15.5%
63.1%		21.4%
+355
-133
+390
-145
0
4		-0.61304-0.57552-0.46064
AVS
Sporting CP		3.9%
86.1%		10.0%
+2300
-1667
+3100
-2000
0
6		-0.11841-0.09787-0.15007
Vitoria
Rio Ave		45.0%
26.7%		28.3%
+147
+215
+145
+205
1
0		-0.94323-0.94348-0.79813
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).