Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC 		48.2%
24.6%		27.1%
+123
+260
+120
+265
1.40
0.92		2.32
o2-102
u2-115

Vitoria
Rio Ave 		45.0%
26.7%		28.3%
+158
+166
+150
+175
1.29
0.93		2.22
o2½+105
u2½-122

AVS
Sporting CP 		3.9%
86.1%		10.0%
+2200
-1600
+2650
-1600
0.52
2.95		3.47
o3¾+102
u3½+110

Games for Dec 12, 2025
Games for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
Benfica		8.1%
76.8%		15.0%
+1100
-316
+1025
-340
1
1		-1.69576-1.71674-1.89506
Santa Clara
Estoril		35.1%
34.7%		30.1%
+142
+236
+135
+235
1
0		-0.91364-0.90503-1.04734
Estrela
Santa Clara		10.8%
70.6%		18.5%
+425
-122
+355
-115
0
0		-1.21433-1.26075-1.68475
Braga
Rio Ave		62.5%
15.6%		21.9%
-139
+421
-130
+365
2
2		-1.38079-1.35763-1.51809
Benfica
Alverca		77.0%
8.1%		15.0%
-435
+1029
-425
+1000
2
1		-0.26094-0.25979-0.26159
Estoril
Tondela		32.9%
38.1%		29.1%
+194
+167
+190
+160
2
2		-1.18994-1.18215-1.23598
Porto
Sporting CP		20.1%
56.0%		23.9%
+305
-106
+270
+110
2
1		-1.43649-1.35662-1.60395
Arouca
Vitoria		16.1%
61.0%		22.9%
+257
+120
+385
-135
1
1		-1.25632-1.35802-1.47390
Famalicao
AVS		50.5%
24.0%		25.4%
+104
+310
-120
+365
1
0		-0.74246-0.65527-0.68288
Nacional
Casa Pia AC		24.8%
48.9%		26.2%
+259
+124
+265
+120
2
0		-1.31308-1.34458-1.39445
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		28.2%
43.4%		28.4%
+235
+154
+235
+150
0
2		-0.96740-0.96451-0.83413
Alverca
Estrela		44.6%
27.7%		27.7%
+219
+156
+210
+150
2
2		-1.13987-1.16437-1.28219
AVS
Braga		6.6%
80.0%		13.4%
+1041
-338
+900
-315
2
2		-1.74962-1.69876-2.01014
Casa Pia AC
Porto		5.6%
82.0%		12.5%
+1477
-446
+1475
-500
0
4		-0.23840-0.23289-0.19905
Gil Vicente FC
Famalicao		15.6%
63.1%		21.4%
+382
-110
+400
-120
0
0		-1.24043-1.23045-1.54253
Rio Ave
Arouca		16.5%
59.3%		24.2%
+231
+133
+230
+125
3
3		-1.23409-1.24316-1.41956
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).