Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-147
+385

1.43
1.00		2.43
o2¾+103
u2¾-120

Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
SC Farense		37.3%
32.7%		30.0%
+178
+175
+175
+175
2
1		-1.05581-1.06025-0.98497
Vitoria
Sporting CP		8.9%
74.9%		16.2%
+900
-315
+960
-360
0
2		-0.30783-0.29618-0.28907
Nacional
Porto		5.1%
83.5%		11.5%
+845
-322
+800
-320
0
3		-0.30808-0.32223-0.18087
Boavista
Arouca		16.0%
61.3%		22.7%
+283
+105
+280
-105
1
4		-0.73900-0.72081-0.48929
Estrela
Estoril		24.5%
48.3%		27.2%
+173
+160
+160
+175
0
4		-1.00893-1.06161-0.72703
Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave		27.0%
44.2%		28.8%
+162
+181
+165
+180
1
1		-1.24862-1.19806-1.24493
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		20.1%
56.3%		23.7%
+330
-110
+350
-120
1
2		-0.68246-0.65433-0.57504
Porto
Boavista		76.3%
8.2%		15.5%
-245
+697
-245
+605
2
1		-0.39666-0.39297-0.27090
SC Farense
Vitoria		10.7%
70.3%		19.0%
+597
-189
+625
-200
2
1		-1.97436-2.02837-2.23166
Estoril
Moreirense		28.0%
43.6%		28.4%
+180
+164
+180
+160
2
2		-1.22997-1.22693-1.25776
AVS
Estrela		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+233
+133
+240
+130
1
0		-1.25274-1.27397-1.50251
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC		28.2%
42.7%		29.0%
+238
+125
+235
+125
1
1		-1.24490-1.22806-1.23681
Braga
Casa Pia AC		52.1%
22.8%		25.0%
-190
+560
-195
+550
1
2		-1.92449-1.92340-1.57036
Sporting CP
Benfica		25.0%
49.6%		25.4%
+231
+125
+240
+115
1
1		-1.26993-1.27576-1.37231
Famalicao
Santa Clara		27.5%
45.8%		26.7%
+346
-105
+355
-110
1
2		-0.70423-0.69663-0.78049
Rio Ave
Nacional		25.5%
47.3%		27.1%
+254
+105
+250
+100
3
3		-1.37180-1.37279-1.30420
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).