Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estrela
Alverca		24.5%
48.9%		26.6%
+400
-103
+330
+100
1
1		-1.19145-1.19620-1.32388
Arouca
Rio Ave		29.0%
41.1%		29.9%
+140
+224
+135
+225
3
0		-0.90884-0.90387-1.23787
Estoril
Santa Clara		24.4%
49.7%		25.8%
+260
+128
+255
+125
4
2		-1.31323-1.31449-1.41022
Moreirense
Vitoria		19.6%
57.2%		23.1%
+385
-114
+350
-115
0
1		-0.66227-0.67566-0.55835
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		7.1%
78.3%		14.7%
+800
-263
+775
-265
0
3		-0.36321-0.36976-0.24520
Alverca
Braga		8.5%
76.0%		15.5%
+650
-217
+550
-200
0
5		-0.41597-0.45463-0.27449
Tondela
Famalicao		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+525
-169
+510
-180
0
3		-0.48809-0.49127-0.35284
Estrela
Benfica		3.4%
87.9%		8.7%
+1500
-556
+1600
-650
0
4		-0.19985-0.19236-0.12873
Rio Ave
Nacional		26.1%
47.4%		26.5%
+280
-107
+285
-105
0
4		-0.70899-0.71756-0.74670
Vitoria
Estoril		34.5%
36.2%		29.4%
+208
+144
+175
+155
2
4		-0.92707-0.98481-1.01694
Sporting CP
Arouca		76.6%
7.3%		16.1%
-357
+950
-350
+850
2
1		-0.28272-0.29982-0.26642
Santa Clara
Moreirense		34.2%
36.4%		29.4%
+185
+200
+170
+200
0
1		-1.13311-1.14602-1.01099
AVS
Casa Pia AC		26.2%
44.7%		29.1%
+310
+106
+290
+110
3
3		-1.19534-1.19627-1.23526
Estoril
Estrela		39.3%
31.0%		29.8%
+158
+183
+135
+205
5
0		-0.99171-0.90084-0.93501
Porto
Vitoria		63.5%
14.0%		22.5%
-204
+600
-215
+650
1
0		-0.44434-0.43183-0.45402
Braga
Tondela		62.5%
15.7%		21.8%
-189
+550
-195
+565
1
0		-0.47797-0.46501-0.47015
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).