Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Santa Clara		37.8%
34.5%		27.6%
+158
+205
+155
+210
1
0		-1.00299-0.98305-0.97180
Benfica
Rio Ave		74.2%
9.1%		16.6%
-345
+850
-310
+825
2
0		-0.31196-0.33112-0.29789
Moreirense
Alverca		34.7%
36.6%		28.7%
+235
+145
+260
+130
1
2		-0.94407-0.88317-1.00479
Arouca
AVS		39.5%
31.3%		29.2%
+180
+162
+180
+170
1
0		-1.08438-1.07852-0.92788
Nacional
Gil Vicente FC		16.6%
60.1%		23.3%
+395
-133
+400
-135
1
2		-0.61378-0.60525-0.50928
Casa Pia AC
Sporting CP		2.8%
89.2%		8.0%
+1300
-588
+1500
-625
0
3		-0.20688-0.19679-0.11420
Santa Clara
Nacional		34.3%
36.8%		28.9%
+185
+173
+190
+180
3
3		-1.12485-1.11042-1.24116
Famalicao
Alverca		48.9%
25.2%		25.9%
+113
+270
+110
+280
0
1		-1.35468-1.38553-1.37706
Porto
Santa Clara		57.3%
18.9%		23.8%
-199
+700
-220
+725
1
0		-0.45621-0.42317-0.55692
Casa Pia AC
Rio Ave		17.6%
58.3%		24.1%
+215
+146
+240
+135
1
3		-0.95070-0.90604-0.54031
Moreirense
AVS		27.6%
44.6%		27.8%
+120
+260
+110
+275
2
0		-0.82768-0.79125-1.28649
Braga
Estrela		58.1%
18.8%		23.1%
-132
+395
-140
+415
3
3		-1.30793-1.34496-1.46400
Estoril
Benfica		4.8%
84.1%		11.1%
+1000
-476
+1175
-500
1
3		-0.25408-0.23082-0.17294
Arouca
Tondela		30.7%
40.5%		28.8%
+205
+142
+215
+135
1
3		-0.93598-0.90387-0.90283
Nacional
Vitoria		15.4%
63.2%		21.4%
+325
-109
+330
-115
1
2		-0.70911-0.67368-0.45834
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC		63.7%
14.8%		21.4%
-217
+575
-210
+610
1
1		-1.52184-1.50819-1.53963
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).