Sporting CP at Nacional

Updated

Sporting CP

78.3%14.3%7.4%
Sporting CP WinDrawWin
2.55Projected Goals 0.66
4Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Sporting CP
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Arouca-560
W 2-0 at Casa Pia AC-300
W 0-2 vs Vitoria-360
T 1-1 at Benfica+240
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-750
Nacional
Money Line
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+255
L 2-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+175
L 0-3 at Porto+800
T 3-3 vs Rio Ave+100
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-355-408-460-455-447-455-408-318.3
Nacional+775+1073+1000+1000+1004+1000+1073+1085.1
Draw+475+560+525+500+557+500+560+546.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-385-----400-400-318.3
Nacional+880----+970+970+1085.1
Draw+535----+530+530+546.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sporting CP: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -435 to -455
Nacional ML moved from +1068 to +1004

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sporting CP: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -380 to -395
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-118o3-118o3¼+104o3-118o3¼+104o3-118o3¼+113
Underu3+105u3+100u3-102u3¼-124u3-102u3¼-124u3¼-124u3¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+113
Under-----u3¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.03%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 417.86%
Exactly 66.14%
Exactly 81.13%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.94%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.47%
Exactly 72.82%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 07.79%
Exactly 119.88%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 413.77%
Exactly 57.03%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 71.09%
Exactly 80.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 051.71%
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 211.25%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.60%
Exactly 224.99%
Exactly 44.61%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.61%
Exactly 312.39%
Exactly 51.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 030.68%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 38.44%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 073.68%
Exactly 122.50%
Exactly 23.44%
Exactly 30.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals56.44%
Wins by 3+ goals34.22%
Wins by 4+ goals17.49%
Wins by 5+ goals7.61%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals1.78%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Sporting CP
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal21.73%
Wins by 2 goals22.22%
Wins by 3 goals16.73%
Wins by 4 goals9.88%
Wins by 5 goals4.79%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal5.61%
Wins by 2 goals1.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.97%4.03%
1.583.03%16.97%
2.562.26%37.74%
3.540.01%59.99%
4.522.15%77.85%
5.510.68%89.32%
6.54.53%95.47%
7.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.21%7.79%
1.572.33%27.67%
2.546.95%53.05%
3.525.37%74.63%
4.511.59%88.41%
5.54.56%95.44%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.29%51.71%
1.514.19%85.81%
2.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.40%22.60%
1.543.78%56.22%
2.518.79%81.21%
3.56.40%93.60%
4.51.80%98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sporting CP
Nacional
Score0123
0
4.03%
2.66%
0.88%
0.19%
1
10.28%
6.78%
2.24%
0.49%
2
13.12%
8.65%
2.85%
0.63%
3
11.16%
7.36%
2.43%
0.53%
4
7.12%
4.70%
1.55%
0.34%
5
3.64%
2.40%
0.79%
0.17%
Sporting CP
1-010.28%
2-013.12%
2-18.65%
3-011.16%
3-17.36%
3-22.43%
4-07.12%
4-14.70%
4-21.55%
4-30.34%
5-03.64%
5-12.40%
5-20.79%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-04.03%
1-16.78%
2-22.85%
3-30.53%
Nacional
0-12.66%
0-20.88%
1-22.24%
0-30.19%
1-30.49%
2-30.63%

Correct Score - First Half

Sporting CP
Nacional
Score0123
0
22.60%
6.90%
1.05%
0.11%
1
26.71%
8.16%
1.25%
0.13%
2
15.78%
4.82%
0.74%
0.07%
3
6.22%
1.90%
0.29%
0.03%
4
1.84%
0.56%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.43%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Sporting CP
1-026.71%
2-015.78%
2-14.82%
3-06.22%
3-11.90%
3-20.29%
4-01.84%
4-10.56%
5-00.43%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-022.60%
1-18.16%
2-20.74%
Nacional
0-16.90%
0-21.05%
1-21.25%
0-30.11%
1-30.13%
Vitória at Moreirense
Tondela at Benfica