Tondela at Benfica

Updated

Tondela

5.3%11.3%83.3%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.62Projected Goals 2.88
0Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Famalicao+330
L 0-3 at Braga+640
T 2-2 vs Boavista-140
L 0-3 at Gil Vicente FC+345
T 1-1 at Pacos+135
Benfica
Money Line
W 1-0 at Estrela-440
T 1-1 at Braga-190
T 1-1 vs Sporting CP+115
W 2-1 at Estoril-530
W 0-6 vs AVS-1550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+1826+1521+1300+1400+1532+1400+1532+1526.2
Benfica-723-577-675-750-693-750-577-437.2
Draw+813+694+700+640+701+640+701+702.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+1375----+1800+1800+1526.2
Benfica-635-----750-750-437.2
Draw+725----+775+775+702.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Benfica ML moved from -685 to -693

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +1525 to +1500
Benfica ML moved from -650 to -750

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-103o3-134o3¼-102o3¼+101o3¼-104o3¼+101o3¼+101o3¼+110
Underu3½-114u3+114u3¼-118u3¼-121u3¼-116u3¼-121u3¼-116u3¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+110
Under-----u3¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-146 to o3¼-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.03%
Exactly 218.51%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.70%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.58%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.21%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 053.91%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 210.29%
Exactly 32.12%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 05.61%
Exactly 116.16%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 416.09%
Exactly 59.27%
Exactly 64.45%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 80.66%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.80%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 314.02%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 075.12%
Exactly 121.49%
Exactly 23.07%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 026.35%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 223.43%
Exactly 310.42%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 50.93%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals1.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals64.12%
Wins by 3+ goals42.26%
Wins by 4+ goals23.79%
Wins by 5+ goals11.53%
Wins by 6+ goals4.85%
Wins by 7+ goals1.77%
Wins by 8+ goals0.54%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal4.10%
Wins by 2 goals1.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal19.14%
Wins by 2 goals21.86%
Wins by 3 goals18.46%
Wins by 4 goals12.26%
Wins by 5 goals6.68%
Wins by 6 goals3.08%
Wins by 7 goals1.23%
Wins by 8 goals0.43%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.97%3.03%
1.586.39%13.61%
2.567.88%32.12%
3.546.29%53.71%
4.527.42%72.58%
5.514.21%85.79%
6.56.51%93.49%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.09%53.91%
1.512.78%87.22%
2.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.39%5.61%
1.578.22%21.78%
2.554.94%45.06%
3.532.59%67.41%
4.516.50%83.50%
5.57.23%92.77%
6.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.20%19.80%
1.548.14%51.86%
2.522.17%77.83%
3.58.15%91.85%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.03%
8.71%
12.55%
12.05%
8.68%
5.00%
1
1.87%
5.38%
7.75%
7.44%
5.36%
3.09%
2
0.58%
1.66%
2.40%
2.30%
1.66%
0.95%
3
0.12%
0.34%
0.49%
0.47%
0.34%
0.20%
Tondela
1-01.87%
2-00.58%
2-11.66%
3-00.12%
3-10.34%
3-20.49%
Draw
0-03.03%
1-15.38%
2-22.40%
3-30.47%
Benfica
0-18.71%
0-212.55%
1-27.75%
0-312.05%
1-37.44%
2-32.30%
0-48.68%
1-45.36%
2-41.66%
3-40.34%
0-55.00%
1-53.09%
2-50.95%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Benfica
Score0123456
0
19.80%
26.40%
17.60%
7.82%
2.61%
0.70%
0.15%
1
5.66%
7.55%
5.04%
2.24%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
2
0.81%
1.08%
0.72%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Tondela
1-05.66%
2-00.81%
2-11.08%
Draw
0-019.80%
1-17.55%
2-20.72%
Benfica
0-126.40%
0-217.60%
1-25.04%
0-37.82%
1-32.24%
2-30.32%
0-42.61%
1-40.75%
2-40.11%
0-50.70%
1-50.20%
0-60.15%
Sporting CP at Nacional
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