Nacional at Sporting CP

Updated

Nacional

4.8%11.0%84.1%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.87
1Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-105
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+400
T 3-3 vs Santa Clara+180
L 1-2 at Vitoria+330
T 2-2 at AVS+165
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 2-1 at Arouca-350
W 0-3 vs Casa Pia AC-625
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC-210
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-1000
W 4-1 at Vitoria-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1300-+1600+1400+1477+1500+1600+1559.8
Sporting CP-700--800-667-752-667-667-518.4
Draw+725-+750+900+741+850+850+885.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1310----+2400+2400+1559.8
Sporting CP-635-----1075-1075-518.4
Draw+755----+950+950+885.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +1534 to +1477
Sporting CP ML moved from -728 to -752

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nacional: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 70.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
Sporting CP ML moved from -1075 to -1100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118-o3½-102o3½-105o3½-106o3½-105o3½-102o3½+104
Underu3¼-102-u3½-118u3½-115u3½-114u3½-115u3½-114u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+104
Under-----u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-112 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.20%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 418.71%
Exactly 67.38%
Exactly 81.56%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 111.03%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 512.88%
Exactly 73.63%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 056.50%
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 29.21%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 116.28%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.03%
Exactly 59.20%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.33%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 45.46%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.39%
Exactly 313.70%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 076.77%
Exactly 120.30%
Exactly 22.68%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 026.48%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 310.35%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals1.02%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals64.95%
Wins by 3+ goals42.90%
Wins by 4+ goals24.18%
Wins by 5+ goals11.72%
Wins by 6+ goals4.93%
Wins by 7+ goals1.80%
Wins by 8+ goals0.55%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal3.79%
Wins by 2 goals0.87%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal19.09%
Wins by 2 goals22.05%
Wins by 3 goals18.72%
Wins by 4 goals12.46%
Wins by 5 goals6.79%
Wins by 6 goals3.13%
Wins by 7 goals1.25%
Wins by 8 goals0.43%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.80%3.20%
1.585.77%14.23%
2.566.80%33.20%
3.545.05%54.95%
4.526.34%73.66%
5.513.46%86.54%
6.56.08%93.92%
7.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.50%56.50%
1.511.24%88.76%
2.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.05%21.95%
2.554.70%45.30%
3.532.36%67.64%
4.516.33%83.67%
5.57.14%92.86%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.67%20.33%
1.547.28%52.72%
2.521.48%78.52%
3.57.79%92.21%
4.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
3.20%
9.20%
13.19%
12.62%
9.05%
5.20%
1
1.83%
5.25%
7.53%
7.21%
5.17%
2.97%
2
0.52%
1.50%
2.15%
2.06%
1.48%
0.85%
Nacional
1-01.83%
2-00.52%
2-11.50%
Draw
0-03.20%
1-15.25%
2-22.15%
3-30.39%
Sporting CP
0-19.20%
0-213.19%
1-27.53%
0-312.62%
1-37.21%
2-32.06%
0-49.05%
1-45.17%
2-41.48%
3-40.28%
0-55.20%
1-52.97%
2-50.85%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
20.33%
27.01%
17.95%
7.95%
2.64%
0.70%
0.16%
1
5.37%
7.14%
4.74%
2.10%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.71%
0.94%
0.63%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Nacional
1-05.37%
2-00.71%
2-10.94%
Draw
0-020.33%
1-17.14%
2-20.63%
Sporting CP
0-127.01%
0-217.95%
1-24.74%
0-37.95%
1-32.10%
2-30.28%
0-42.64%
1-40.70%
0-50.70%
1-50.19%
0-60.16%
Famalicão at Gil Vicente FC
Benfica at Tondela