Arouca at Moreirense

Updated

Arouca

25.0%24.2%50.8%
Arouca WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.67
1Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+280
T 2-2 at Maritimo+255
L 0-3 at Porto+1600
W 1-2 vs Famalicao+180
L 0-2 at Benfica+1500
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-5 at Porto+1700
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+170
T 1-1 at Belenenses+120
L 3-2 vs Braga+450
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+230+285+245+304+301+245+304+315.2
Moreirense+115-105-107-100-112-107+100+105.5
Draw+235+240+245+257+255+245+257+266.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+240----+315+315+315.2
Moreirense+115-----110-110+105.5
Draw+240----+250+250+266.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +295 to +285
Moreirense ML moved from +100 to -100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
Moreirense ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+105o2¼-128o2½+104-o2¼-128o2¼-128o2½+110
Underu2¼-115u2½-125u2¼+108u2½-117-u2¼+108u2½-117u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+110
Under-----u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.67%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 044.07%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 018.85%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 314.60%
Exactly 46.09%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.43%
Exactly 125.96%
Exactly 24.93%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 046.18%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 213.78%
Exactly 33.55%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals5.58%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals31.76%
Wins by 3+ goals13.94%
Wins by 4+ goals4.98%
Wins by 5+ goals1.48%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal12.65%
Wins by 2 goals4.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.76%
Wins by 2 goals17.82%
Wins by 3 goals8.95%
Wins by 4 goals3.51%
Wins by 5 goals1.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.02%28.98%
2.545.31%54.69%
3.523.99%76.01%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.93%44.07%
1.519.82%80.18%
2.55.03%94.97%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.15%18.85%
1.549.69%50.31%
2.523.45%76.55%
3.58.85%91.15%
4.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.40%31.60%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.03%88.97%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Moreirense
Score012345
0
8.31%
13.86%
11.56%
6.43%
2.68%
0.90%
1
6.81%
11.36%
9.48%
5.27%
2.20%
0.73%
2
2.79%
4.65%
3.88%
2.16%
0.90%
0.30%
3
0.76%
1.27%
1.06%
0.59%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.16%
0.26%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Arouca
1-06.81%
2-02.79%
2-14.65%
3-00.76%
3-11.27%
3-21.06%
4-00.16%
4-10.26%
4-20.22%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-111.36%
2-23.88%
3-30.59%
Moreirense
0-113.86%
0-211.56%
1-29.48%
0-36.43%
1-35.27%
2-32.16%
0-42.68%
1-42.20%
2-40.90%
3-40.25%
0-50.90%
1-50.73%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Moreirense
Score01234
0
31.60%
24.41%
9.43%
2.43%
0.47%
1
11.99%
9.26%
3.58%
0.92%
0.18%
2
2.27%
1.76%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.29%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-011.99%
2-02.27%
2-11.76%
3-00.29%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-031.60%
1-19.26%
2-20.68%
Moreirense
0-124.41%
0-29.43%
1-23.58%
0-32.43%
1-30.92%
2-30.17%
0-40.47%
1-40.18%
Porto at Gil Vicente FC
Benfica at Vitória