Arouca at Sporting CP

Updated

Arouca

4.2%10.8%85.0%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.50Projected Goals 2.82
2Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+105
W 2-1 at Nacional+220
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+135
T 2-2 at Vitoria+500
W 3-1 at Boavista+130
Sporting CP
Money Line
T 1-1 at Porto+160
W 1-3 vs SC Farense-725
W 0-2 vs Nacional-600
W 3-0 at Rio Ave-350
T 4-4 at Vitoria-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1000-+900+820+993+840+993+914.0
Sporting CP-500--385-385-451-385-385-278.6
Draw+570-+475+460+506+460+506+504.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+950----+1000+1000+914.0
Sporting CP-410-----400-400-278.6
Draw+535----+525+525+504.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 30.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +850 to +840
Sporting CP ML moved from -438 to -451

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 30.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +975 to +950
Sporting CP ML moved from -390 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110-o3-115o3-118o3-117o3-118o3-115o3-107
Underu3-110-u3-105u3-102u3-103u3-102u3-102u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-107
Under-----u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.9%
 
No63.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.63%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 418.28%
Exactly 66.70%
Exactly 81.31%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.04%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 512.12%
Exactly 73.17%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 060.81%
Exactly 130.25%
Exactly 27.52%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 05.97%
Exactly 116.83%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 415.69%
Exactly 58.84%
Exactly 64.15%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 80.59%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.55%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 44.98%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 312.99%
Exactly 51.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 079.43%
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 22.11%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 027.13%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals0.81%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals65.59%
Wins by 3+ goals43.14%
Wins by 4+ goals24.13%
Wins by 5+ goals11.58%
Wins by 6+ goals4.81%
Wins by 7+ goals1.73%
Wins by 8+ goals0.53%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal3.40%
Wins by 2 goals0.70%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal19.30%
Wins by 2 goals22.46%
Wins by 3 goals19.01%
Wins by 4 goals12.55%
Wins by 5 goals6.77%
Wins by 6 goals3.08%
Wins by 7 goals1.21%
Wins by 8 goals0.41%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.37%3.63%
1.584.32%15.68%
2.564.36%35.64%
3.542.30%57.70%
4.524.02%75.98%
5.511.89%88.11%
6.55.20%94.80%
7.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.19%60.81%
1.58.94%91.06%
2.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.03%5.97%
1.577.19%22.81%
2.553.47%46.53%
3.531.20%68.80%
4.515.51%84.49%
5.56.67%93.33%
6.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.45%21.55%
1.545.38%54.62%
2.520.00%80.00%
3.57.01%92.99%
4.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
3.63%
10.24%
14.42%
13.54%
9.54%
5.38%
1
1.81%
5.09%
7.17%
6.74%
4.75%
2.67%
2
0.45%
1.27%
1.78%
1.68%
1.18%
0.67%
Arouca
1-01.81%
2-00.45%
2-11.27%
Draw
0-03.63%
1-15.09%
2-21.78%
3-30.28%
Sporting CP
0-110.24%
0-214.42%
1-27.17%
0-313.54%
1-36.74%
2-31.68%
0-49.54%
1-44.75%
2-41.18%
3-40.20%
0-55.38%
1-52.67%
2-50.67%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
21.55%
28.11%
18.34%
7.97%
2.60%
0.68%
0.15%
1
4.96%
6.47%
4.22%
1.84%
0.60%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.57%
0.75%
0.49%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-04.96%
2-00.57%
2-10.75%
Draw
0-021.55%
1-16.47%
2-20.49%
Sporting CP
0-128.11%
0-218.34%
1-24.22%
0-37.97%
1-31.84%
2-30.21%
0-42.60%
1-40.60%
0-50.68%
1-50.16%
0-60.15%
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