Tondela at Belenenses

Updated

Tondela

26.7%28.2%45.1%
Tondela WinDrawBelenenses Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.34
2Final Score 0

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Famalicao+285
L 1-3 at Braga+900
L 2-1 vs Estoril+215
L 1-2 at Benfica+2500
L 3-0 vs Portimonense+180
Belenenses
Money Line
T 2-2 at Pacos+390
T 1-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+230
T 0-0 at Vitoria+750
T 1-1 vs Moreirense+250
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+200+165+155+172+164+155+172+179.4
Belenenses+140+170+169+185+163+169+185+192.7
Draw+220+220+215+224+231+215+231+232.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+190----+170+170+179.4
Belenenses+150----+170+170+192.7
Draw+225----+225+225+232.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Belenenses: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +174 to +164
Belenenses ML moved from +169 to +161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Belenenses: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +195 to +175
Belenenses ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2¼-122o2¼-113o2¼-102-o2¼-113o2¼-102o2¼+104
Underu2¼-115u2¼+102u2¼-107u2¼-110-u2¼-107u2¼+102u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.3%
 
No59.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.90%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.18%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.33%
Exactly 319.13%
Exactly 54.33%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 045.34%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.19%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 026.26%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 310.47%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.33%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 069.33%
Exactly 125.39%
Exactly 24.65%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 053.84%
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 210.32%
Exactly 32.13%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals6.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals23.61%
Wins by 3+ goals8.68%
Wins by 4+ goals2.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Belenenses
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal15.36%
Wins by 2 goals5.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal25.96%
Wins by 2 goals14.93%
Wins by 3 goals6.14%
Wins by 4 goals1.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.10%11.90%
1.562.76%37.24%
2.535.80%64.20%
3.516.68%83.32%
4.56.50%93.50%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.66%45.34%
1.518.80%81.20%
2.54.61%95.39%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.74%26.26%
1.538.63%61.37%
2.515.16%84.84%
3.54.69%95.31%
4.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.67%37.33%
1.525.89%74.11%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Belenenses
Score012345
0
11.90%
15.92%
10.64%
4.74%
1.59%
0.42%
1
9.42%
12.59%
8.42%
3.75%
1.25%
0.34%
2
3.72%
4.98%
3.33%
1.48%
0.50%
0.13%
3
0.98%
1.31%
0.88%
0.39%
0.13%
0.04%
4
0.19%
0.26%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Tondela
1-09.42%
2-03.72%
2-14.98%
3-00.98%
3-11.31%
3-20.88%
4-00.19%
4-10.26%
4-20.17%
Draw
0-011.90%
1-112.59%
2-23.33%
3-30.39%
Belenenses
0-115.92%
0-210.64%
1-28.42%
0-34.74%
1-33.75%
2-31.48%
0-41.59%
1-41.25%
2-40.50%
3-40.13%
0-50.42%
1-50.34%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Belenenses
Score01234
0
37.33%
23.11%
7.16%
1.48%
0.23%
1
13.67%
8.47%
2.62%
0.54%
0.08%
2
2.50%
1.55%
0.48%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Tondela
1-013.67%
2-02.50%
2-11.55%
3-00.31%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-037.33%
1-18.47%
2-20.48%
Belenenses
0-123.11%
0-27.16%
1-22.62%
0-31.48%
1-30.54%
0-40.23%
Sporting CP at Arouca
Portimonense at Benfica