Nacional at Braga

Updated

Nacional

6.2%12.5%81.3%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.75
0Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Estoril+125
W 2-0 at SC Farense+225
L 2-1 vs Arouca+140
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1175
W 1-3 vs AVS+105
Braga
Money Line
T 0-0 at Vitoria+255
W 0-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-150
W 2-1 at Moreirense+105
W 0-3 vs Boavista-400
W 1-0 at Estrela-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+550+551+500+540+566+540+566+592.2
Braga-230-183-190-208-197-208-183-166.2
Draw+370+316+300+300+305+300+316+332.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+550----+550+550+592.2
Braga-210-----210-210-166.2
Draw+355----+355+355+332.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Braga: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +550 to +540
Braga ML moved from -188 to -197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Braga: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Braga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2½-118o2½-120o2½-120o2½-119o2½-120o2½-118o2½-109
Underu3-122u2½+101u2½+100u2½+100u2½-101u2½+100u2½+101u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.36%
Exactly 219.35%
Exactly 418.56%
Exactly 67.12%
Exactly 81.46%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.41%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 512.59%
Exactly 73.45%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 052.67%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 210.82%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 06.38%
Exactly 117.57%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 58.39%
Exactly 63.85%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 80.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.79%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 45.27%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.66%
Exactly 313.43%
Exactly 51.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 074.32%
Exactly 122.06%
Exactly 23.27%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 027.98%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals1.42%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals61.09%
Wins by 3+ goals39.02%
Wins by 4+ goals21.20%
Wins by 5+ goals9.89%
Wins by 6+ goals4.00%
Wins by 7+ goals1.40%
Wins by 8+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal4.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal20.19%
Wins by 2 goals22.07%
Wins by 3 goals17.82%
Wins by 4 goals11.31%
Wins by 5 goals5.89%
Wins by 6 goals2.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.99%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.64%3.36%
1.585.23%14.77%
2.565.88%34.12%
3.544.00%56.00%
4.525.44%74.56%
5.512.85%87.15%
6.55.73%94.27%
7.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.33%52.67%
1.513.56%86.44%
2.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.62%6.38%
1.576.05%23.95%
2.551.89%48.11%
3.529.72%70.28%
4.514.48%85.52%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.21%20.79%
1.546.55%53.45%
2.520.91%79.09%
3.57.48%92.52%
4.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Braga
Score012345
0
3.36%
9.25%
12.73%
11.67%
8.03%
4.42%
1
2.16%
5.93%
8.16%
7.48%
5.15%
2.83%
2
0.69%
1.90%
2.62%
2.40%
1.65%
0.91%
3
0.15%
0.41%
0.56%
0.51%
0.35%
0.19%
Nacional
1-02.16%
2-00.69%
2-11.90%
3-00.15%
3-10.41%
3-20.56%
Draw
0-03.36%
1-15.93%
2-22.62%
3-30.51%
Braga
0-19.25%
0-212.73%
1-28.16%
0-311.67%
1-37.48%
2-32.40%
0-48.03%
1-45.15%
2-41.65%
3-40.35%
0-54.42%
1-52.83%
2-50.91%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Braga
Score0123456
0
20.79%
26.48%
16.87%
7.16%
2.28%
0.58%
0.12%
1
6.17%
7.86%
5.01%
2.13%
0.68%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.92%
1.17%
0.74%
0.32%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-06.17%
2-00.92%
2-11.17%
Draw
0-020.79%
1-17.86%
2-20.74%
Braga
0-126.48%
0-216.87%
1-25.01%
0-37.16%
1-32.13%
2-30.32%
0-42.28%
1-40.68%
2-40.10%
0-50.58%
1-50.17%
0-60.12%
Famalicão at Gil Vicente FC
Gil Vicente FC at Casa Pia AC