Rayo Vallecano at Real Madrid

Updated

Rayo Vallecano

10.8%17.6%71.5%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.25
1Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Osasuna+120
L 0-3 at Celta Vigo+350
W 1-2 vs Mallorca-115
T 1-1 vs Getafe+110
L 0-4 at Elche+221
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Villarreal-115
W 0-2 vs Levante-645
W 1-5 vs Betis-200
W 0-2 vs Sevilla-515
W 2-1 at Alaves-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+965+950+900+1025+988+1025+1025+1064.6
Real Madrid-348-357-385-390-418-390-357-332.7
Draw+460+520+500+565+541+565+565+588.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+975-+1100--+1100+1100+1064.6
Real Madrid-350--400---425-400-332.7
Draw+460-+525--+525+525+588.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +1000 to +950
Real Madrid ML moved from -406 to -418

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Rayo Vallecano ML
Real Madrid ML moved from -415 to -430

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3¼-115o3¼-122o3¼-120o3¼-123o3¼-120o3¼-115o3¼-109
Underu3¼-122u3¼+105u3¼+102u3¼+100u3¼+101u3¼+100u3¼+105u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-135o3½-110--o3½+105o3-135o3¼-109
Underu3+115u3+115u3½-110--u3½-125u3½-110u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-107 to o3½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.97%
Exactly 222.39%
Exactly 416.81%
Exactly 65.05%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.92%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.09%
Exactly 72.16%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 047.33%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.24%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 123.67%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.92%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 43.87%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 311.14%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 070.73%
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 24.24%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals2.89%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals47.77%
Wins by 3+ goals26.38%
Wins by 4+ goals12.16%
Wins by 5+ goals4.75%
Wins by 6+ goals1.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal7.86%
Wins by 2 goals2.34%
Wins by 3 goals0.49%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals14.22%
Wins by 4 goals7.42%
Wins by 5 goals3.17%
Wins by 6 goals1.14%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.03%4.97%
1.580.10%19.90%
2.557.71%42.29%
3.535.31%64.69%
4.518.50%81.50%
5.58.40%91.60%
6.53.36%96.64%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.67%47.33%
1.517.26%82.74%
2.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.82%34.18%
2.539.15%60.85%
3.519.12%80.88%
4.57.84%92.16%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.08%24.92%
1.540.46%59.54%
2.516.40%83.60%
3.55.26%94.74%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.97%
11.20%
12.62%
9.48%
5.34%
2.41%
1
3.72%
8.38%
9.44%
7.09%
3.99%
1.80%
2
1.39%
3.13%
3.53%
2.65%
1.49%
0.67%
3
0.35%
0.78%
0.88%
0.66%
0.37%
0.17%
Rayo Vallecano
1-03.72%
2-01.39%
2-13.13%
3-00.35%
3-10.78%
3-20.88%
Draw
0-04.97%
1-18.38%
2-23.53%
3-30.66%
Real Madrid
0-111.20%
0-212.62%
1-29.44%
0-39.48%
1-37.09%
2-32.65%
0-45.34%
1-43.99%
2-41.49%
3-40.37%
0-52.41%
1-51.80%
2-50.67%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
24.92%
26.00%
13.56%
4.72%
1.23%
0.26%
1
8.63%
9.00%
4.70%
1.63%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.49%
1.56%
0.81%
0.28%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Rayo Vallecano
1-08.63%
2-01.49%
2-11.56%
3-00.17%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-024.92%
1-19.00%
2-20.81%
Real Madrid
0-126.00%
0-213.56%
1-24.70%
0-34.72%
1-31.63%
2-30.28%
0-41.23%
1-40.43%
0-50.26%