Alaves at Villarreal

Updated

Alaves

13.3%20.8%65.9%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.74Projected Goals 1.95
1Final Score 3

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Oviedo-105
L 0-3 at Osasuna+280
L 2-1 vs Real Madrid+520
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+177
L 1-3 at Barcelona+1075
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-1 at Elche+126
L 2-0 vs Barcelona+325
W 0-2 vs Getafe-155
W 3-2 at Real Sociedad+160
W 1-2 vs Mallorca-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+525+660+650+690+690+690+690+718.0
Villarreal-186-213-213-211-211-211-211-190.0
Draw+305+330+320+334+334+334+334+349.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+575-+670--+685+685+718.0
Villarreal-205--220---225-220-190.0
Draw+335-+325--+330+330+349.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +680 to +660
Villarreal ML moved from -204 to -213

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Alaves ML
Villarreal ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-101o2½-105o2½-106o2½-106o2½-106o2½-101o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½-109u2½-115u2½-114u2½-114u2½-114u2½-109u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-115o2½-115--o2½-110o2½-110o2½+104
Underu2½-110u2½-105u2½-105--u2½-110u2½-105u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.81%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 414.78%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.30%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.94%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 047.75%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.04%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 014.27%
Exactly 127.78%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.56%
Exactly 48.55%
Exactly 53.33%
Exactly 61.08%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.83%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 071.02%
Exactly 124.30%
Exactly 24.16%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 040.59%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.50%
Exactly 34.96%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals3.62%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals40.39%
Wins by 3+ goals20.05%
Wins by 4+ goals8.18%
Wins by 5+ goals2.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.77%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal9.63%
Wins by 2 goals2.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals20.34%
Wins by 3 goals11.87%
Wins by 4 goals5.41%
Wins by 5 goals2.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.62%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.19%6.81%
1.574.88%25.12%
2.550.30%49.70%
3.528.29%71.71%
4.513.51%86.49%
5.55.56%94.44%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.25%47.75%
1.516.95%83.05%
2.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.73%14.27%
1.557.95%42.05%
2.530.90%69.10%
3.513.35%86.65%
4.54.80%95.20%
5.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.17%28.83%
1.535.31%64.69%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Villarreal
Score012345
0
6.81%
13.27%
12.92%
8.38%
4.08%
1.59%
1
5.04%
9.81%
9.55%
6.20%
3.02%
1.17%
2
1.86%
3.62%
3.53%
2.29%
1.11%
0.43%
3
0.46%
0.89%
0.87%
0.56%
0.27%
0.11%
Alaves
1-05.04%
2-01.86%
2-13.62%
3-00.46%
3-10.89%
3-20.87%
Draw
0-06.81%
1-19.81%
2-23.53%
3-30.56%
Villarreal
0-113.27%
0-212.92%
1-29.55%
0-38.38%
1-36.20%
2-32.29%
0-44.08%
1-43.02%
2-41.11%
3-40.27%
0-51.59%
1-51.17%
2-50.43%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Villarreal
Score012345
0
28.83%
25.99%
11.72%
3.52%
0.79%
0.14%
1
9.87%
8.89%
4.01%
1.20%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.69%
1.52%
0.69%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.19%
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Alaves
1-09.87%
2-01.69%
2-11.52%
3-00.19%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-028.83%
1-18.89%
2-20.69%
Villarreal
0-125.99%
0-211.72%
1-24.01%
0-33.52%
1-31.20%
2-30.21%
0-40.79%
1-40.27%
0-50.14%