Villarreal at Real Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

13.1%18.7%68.2%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.19
3Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Real Sociedad+160
W 3-0 at Osasuna+150
T 1-1 vs Betis-145
W 2-0 at Almeria+120
W 1-2 vs Getafe-145
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Valladolid-520
L 1-2 at Barcelona+220
W 1-3 vs Espanyol-375
T 0-0 at Betis-140
T 1-1 vs Atletico Madrid-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+475+512+500+525+526+525+526+546.9
Real Madrid-195-201-205-202-200-202-200-182.7
Draw+360+378+380+385+379+385+385+402.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+485---+400+500+500+546.9
Real Madrid-190----220-205-205-182.7
Draw+345---+315+370+370+402.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +545 to +525
Real Madrid ML moved from -200 to -207

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +550 to +500
Real Madrid ML moved from -180 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o3-127o3¼+100o3-127o3-121o3-127o3-121o3-116
Underu2¾-102u3+107u3¼-120u3+107u3+106u3+107u3¼-120u3+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-125--o3-115o3-130o3-115o3-116
Underu3-125u3+105--u3-115u3+110u3+110u3+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.82%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 416.99%
Exactly 65.21%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.61%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.30%
Exactly 72.26%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 043.08%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.28%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 011.18%
Exactly 124.50%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 410.74%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.55%
Exactly 224.21%
Exactly 43.98%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 311.33%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 067.71%
Exactly 126.40%
Exactly 25.15%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 036.26%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals3.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals44.33%
Wins by 3+ goals23.80%
Wins by 4+ goals10.66%
Wins by 5+ goals4.04%
Wins by 6+ goals1.31%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal9.14%
Wins by 2 goals3.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.79%
Wins by 2 goals20.53%
Wins by 3 goals13.14%
Wins by 4 goals6.62%
Wins by 5 goals2.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.96%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.18%4.82%
1.580.58%19.42%
2.558.42%41.58%
3.536.02%63.98%
4.519.04%80.96%
5.58.73%91.27%
6.53.52%96.48%
7.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.92%43.08%
1.520.64%79.36%
2.55.37%94.63%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.82%11.18%
1.564.33%35.67%
2.537.49%62.51%
3.517.89%82.11%
4.57.15%92.85%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.45%24.55%
1.540.97%59.03%
2.516.76%83.24%
3.55.42%94.58%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.82%
10.55%
11.56%
8.44%
4.62%
2.03%
1
4.06%
8.89%
9.74%
7.11%
3.89%
1.71%
2
1.71%
3.74%
4.10%
2.99%
1.64%
0.72%
3
0.48%
1.05%
1.15%
0.84%
0.46%
0.20%
4
0.10%
0.22%
0.24%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
Villarreal
1-04.06%
2-01.71%
2-13.74%
3-00.48%
3-11.05%
3-21.15%
4-00.10%
4-10.22%
4-20.24%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-04.82%
1-18.89%
2-24.10%
3-30.84%
Real Madrid
0-110.55%
0-211.56%
1-29.74%
0-38.44%
1-37.11%
2-32.99%
0-44.62%
1-43.89%
2-41.64%
3-40.46%
0-52.03%
1-51.71%
2-50.72%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
24.55%
24.91%
12.63%
4.27%
1.08%
0.22%
1
9.57%
9.71%
4.93%
1.67%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.87%
1.89%
0.96%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-09.57%
2-01.87%
2-11.89%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.55%
1-19.71%
2-20.96%
Real Madrid
0-124.91%
0-212.63%
1-24.93%
0-34.27%
1-31.67%
2-30.32%
0-41.08%
1-40.42%
0-50.22%