Real Madrid at Sevilla

Updated

Real Madrid

60.3%22.5%17.2%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
1.83Projected Goals 0.86
2Final Score 0

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Mallorca-245
L 3-4 at Barcelona+250
W 2-3 vs Celta Vigo-255
W 1-0 at Getafe-160
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club-195
Sevilla
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Las Palmas-145
L 2-3 at Celta Vigo+340
T 2-2 vs Leganes-145
L 0-1 at Osasuna+255
T 1-1 vs Alaves+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-130+116+115+120+115+120+120+127.4
Sevilla+310+223+215+220+213+220+223+230.8
Draw+320+274+270+275+268+275+275+287.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-160-+108-+100+120+120+127.4
Sevilla+300-+224-+195+210+224+230.8
Draw+285-+280-+245+265+280+287.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 40.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +120 to +110
Sevilla ML moved from +226 to +220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 40.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +100 to -105
Sevilla ML moved from +225 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-110o3-112o3-113o3-113o3-113o3-110o3-103
Underu3-115u3-107u3-108u3-107u3-107u3-107u3-107u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-115o3-115-o3-120o3-115o3-115o3-103
Underu3-105u3-105u3-105-u3-110u3-105u3-105u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+100 to u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+105 to u3-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.82%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 414.78%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.31%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.94%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 016.09%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.36%
Exactly 47.47%
Exactly 52.73%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 042.38%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.62%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.84%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.91%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 067.20%
Exactly 126.71%
Exactly 25.31%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals35.06%
Wins by 3+ goals16.43%
Wins by 4+ goals6.32%
Wins by 5+ goals2.02%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals5.39%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.14%
Wins by 2 goals18.63%
Wins by 3 goals10.12%
Wins by 4 goals4.30%
Wins by 5 goals1.49%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal11.81%
Wins by 2 goals4.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.18%6.82%
1.574.88%25.12%
2.550.29%49.71%
3.528.28%71.72%
4.513.50%86.50%
5.55.56%94.44%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.91%16.09%
1.554.52%45.48%
2.527.67%72.33%
3.511.31%88.69%
4.53.84%96.16%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.62%42.38%
1.521.24%78.76%
2.55.62%94.38%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.16%28.84%
1.535.30%64.70%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score01234
0
6.82%
5.85%
2.51%
0.72%
0.15%
1
12.46%
10.69%
4.59%
1.31%
0.28%
2
11.38%
9.77%
4.19%
1.20%
0.26%
3
6.93%
5.95%
2.55%
0.73%
0.16%
4
3.17%
2.72%
1.17%
0.33%
0.07%
5
1.16%
0.99%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
Real Madrid
1-012.46%
2-011.38%
2-19.77%
3-06.93%
3-15.95%
3-22.55%
4-03.17%
4-12.72%
4-21.17%
4-30.33%
5-01.16%
5-10.99%
5-20.43%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.82%
1-110.69%
2-24.19%
3-30.73%
Sevilla
0-15.85%
0-22.51%
1-24.59%
0-30.72%
1-31.31%
2-31.20%
0-40.15%
1-40.28%
2-40.26%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score0123
0
28.84%
11.46%
2.28%
0.30%
1
24.40%
9.70%
1.93%
0.26%
2
10.32%
4.10%
0.82%
0.11%
3
2.91%
1.16%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.62%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-024.40%
2-010.32%
2-14.10%
3-02.91%
3-11.16%
3-20.23%
4-00.62%
4-10.24%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-028.84%
1-19.70%
2-20.82%
Sevilla
0-111.46%
0-22.28%
1-21.93%
0-30.30%
1-30.26%
2-30.11%