Alaves at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Alaves

27.9%26.6%45.5%
Alaves WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.42
1Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Getafe+135
L 2-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+120
W 1-0 at Oviedo+109
W 0-1 vs Barcelona+217
T 1-1 at Elche+240
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sevilla+226
W 2-1 at Alaves+250
W 0-2 vs Villarreal+110
T 1-1 at Valencia+262
T 1-1 vs Girona+128

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+275+220+215+221+216+221+221+231.8
Rayo Vallecano+116+144+145+149+145+149+149+157.4
Draw+205+194+205+212+207+212+212+222.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+225-+217+220+255-+255+231.8
Rayo Vallecano+120-+143+130+115-+143+157.4
Draw+200-+207+200+190-+207+222.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alaves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +257 to +216
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +150 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alaves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 70.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +220 to +210
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+102o2¼+110o2¼+108o2-135o2¼+107o2-135o2-135o2-124
Underu2-122u2¼-122u2¼-128u2+115u2¼-128u2+115u2¼-122u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+105o2-130o2-130o2-130o2-130-o2-130o2-124
Underu2-125u2+110u2+110u2+110u2+100-u2+110u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2+101 to o2¼+107
The Under moved from u2¼-126 to u2-121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2+105 to o2-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.44%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 413.13%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.87%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 034.97%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.30%
Exactly 36.76%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 024.14%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.84%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 061.48%
Exactly 129.91%
Exactly 27.27%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 051.78%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 211.21%
Exactly 32.46%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals10.43%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals21.96%
Wins by 3+ goals8.32%
Wins by 4+ goals2.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal17.36%
Wins by 2 goals7.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals13.65%
Wins by 3 goals5.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.56%8.44%
1.570.69%29.31%
2.544.90%55.10%
3.523.64%76.36%
4.510.51%89.49%
5.54.02%95.98%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.03%34.97%
1.528.28%71.72%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.86%24.14%
1.541.55%58.45%
2.517.17%82.83%
3.55.62%94.38%
4.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.16%31.84%
1.531.72%68.28%
2.510.87%89.13%
3.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
8.44%
12.00%
8.53%
4.04%
1.44%
0.41%
1
8.87%
12.61%
8.96%
4.24%
1.51%
0.43%
2
4.66%
6.62%
4.71%
2.23%
0.79%
0.23%
3
1.63%
2.32%
1.65%
0.78%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.43%
0.61%
0.43%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Alaves
1-08.87%
2-04.66%
2-16.62%
3-01.63%
3-12.32%
3-21.65%
4-00.43%
4-10.61%
4-20.43%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-08.44%
1-112.61%
2-24.71%
3-30.78%
Rayo Vallecano
0-112.00%
0-28.53%
1-28.96%
0-34.04%
1-34.24%
2-32.23%
0-41.44%
1-41.51%
2-40.79%
3-40.28%
0-50.41%
1-50.43%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
31.84%
20.95%
6.89%
1.51%
0.25%
1
15.49%
10.19%
3.35%
0.74%
0.12%
2
3.77%
2.48%
0.82%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.61%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Alaves
1-015.49%
2-03.77%
2-12.48%
3-00.61%
3-10.40%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.84%
1-110.19%
2-20.82%
Rayo Vallecano
0-120.95%
0-26.89%
1-23.35%
0-31.51%
1-30.74%
2-30.18%
0-40.25%
1-40.12%
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