Atletico Madrid at Alaves

Updated

Atletico Madrid

62.7%22.5%14.8%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawWin
1.80Projected Goals 0.74
1Final Score 1

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Elche-390
L 1-2 at Espanyol-155
W 4-0 at Girona+115
W 1-4 vs Betis-180
L 0-2 at Osasuna+115
Alaves
Money Line
L 0-1 at Betis+350
W 1-2 vs Levante+115
T 1-1 vs Osasuna+230
W 1-0 at Valladolid-155
W 0-1 vs Valencia+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-124-138-140-136-144-136-136-125.6
Alaves+355+453+445+460+450+460+460+479.6
Draw+255+257+245+257+252+257+257+269.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-125--134--145-140-134-125.6
Alaves+365-+415-+330+450+450+479.6
Draw+0-+250-+230+250+250+269.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Alaves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -135 to -141
Alaves ML moved from +458 to +450

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -120 to -140
Alaves ML moved from +390 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-134o2-128o2¼+105o2¼+106o2¼+105o2-128o2¼+114
Underu2¼-105u2+114u2+108u2¼-125u2¼-128u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2-135o2-135-o2½+110o2-130o2-130o2¼+114
Underu2½-145u2+115u2+115-u2½-140u2+110u2½-140u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2+120 to o2-135
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.92%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 413.64%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.08%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 56.92%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 016.55%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 316.05%
Exactly 47.22%
Exactly 52.60%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 047.86%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 213.00%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.91%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 043.48%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 215.08%
Exactly 34.19%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 071.09%
Exactly 124.26%
Exactly 24.14%
Exactly 30.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals36.66%
Wins by 3+ goals17.15%
Wins by 4+ goals6.56%
Wins by 5+ goals2.08%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals4.06%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal26.02%
Wins by 2 goals19.50%
Wins by 3 goals10.59%
Wins by 4 goals4.48%
Wins by 5 goals1.54%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal10.65%
Wins by 2 goals3.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.08%7.92%
1.572.00%28.00%
2.546.53%53.47%
3.525.01%74.99%
4.511.37%88.63%
5.54.45%95.55%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.45%16.55%
1.553.68%46.32%
2.526.91%73.09%
3.510.85%89.15%
4.53.63%96.37%
5.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.14%47.86%
1.516.87%83.13%
2.53.88%96.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.09%30.91%
1.532.80%67.20%
2.511.49%88.51%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Score0123
0
7.92%
5.84%
2.15%
0.53%
1
14.25%
10.50%
3.87%
0.95%
2
12.81%
9.44%
3.48%
0.85%
3
7.68%
5.66%
2.09%
0.51%
4
3.46%
2.55%
0.94%
0.23%
5
1.24%
0.92%
0.34%
0.08%
Atletico Madrid
1-014.25%
2-012.81%
2-19.44%
3-07.68%
3-15.66%
3-22.09%
4-03.46%
4-12.55%
4-20.94%
4-30.23%
5-01.24%
5-10.92%
5-20.34%
Draw
0-07.92%
1-110.50%
2-23.48%
3-30.51%
Alaves
0-15.84%
0-22.15%
1-23.87%
0-30.53%
1-30.95%
2-30.85%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Score0123
0
30.91%
10.55%
1.80%
0.20%
1
25.74%
8.78%
1.50%
0.17%
2
10.72%
3.66%
0.62%
0.07%
3
2.98%
1.02%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.62%
0.21%
0.04%
0.00%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-025.74%
2-010.72%
2-13.66%
3-02.98%
3-11.02%
3-20.17%
4-00.62%
4-10.21%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-030.91%
1-18.78%
2-20.62%
Alaves
0-110.55%
0-21.80%
1-21.50%
0-30.20%
1-30.17%