Real Sociedad at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Real Sociedad

39.7%28.4%31.9%
Real Sociedad WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Barcelona+235
T 0-0 vs Betis+100
W 2-1 at Elche-115
W 0-1 vs Espanyol-180
T 0-0 at Sevilla+300
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 1-0 at Barcelona+950
W 1-0 at Espanyol+190
L 0-1 at Alaves+180
T 1-1 vs Valencia+140
T 2-2 at Granada+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+140+115+112+117+100+112+117+119.8
Rayo Vallecano+220+270+290+291+290+290+291+301.0
Draw+200+205+225+224+228+225+228+238.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+145---+120+110+120+119.8
Rayo Vallecano+205---+190+280+280+301.0
Draw+220---+210+220+220+238.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +114 to +108
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +290 to +261

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +130 to +120
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +290 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2¼+105o2¼+105o2-131-o2¼+105o2-131o2-128
Underu2+105u2¼-125u2¼-125u2+116-u2¼-125u2¼-125u2+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2-145--o2-135o2-140o2-135o2-128
Underu2+110u2+125--u2+105u2+120u2+125u2+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.17%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 411.57%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.25%
Exactly 320.24%
Exactly 55.29%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 034.50%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.71%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 056.80%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 29.09%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 061.10%
Exactly 130.10%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals17.24%
Wins by 3+ goals5.78%
Wins by 4+ goals1.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals12.29%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal22.45%
Wins by 2 goals11.46%
Wins by 3 goals4.23%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal19.56%
Wins by 2 goals8.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.83%10.17%
1.566.58%33.42%
2.540.02%59.98%
3.519.78%80.22%
4.58.21%91.79%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.52%29.48%
1.534.52%65.48%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.57%96.43%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.50%34.50%
1.528.78%71.22%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.29%34.71%
1.528.57%71.43%
2.59.13%90.87%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
10.17%
10.82%
5.76%
2.04%
0.54%
0.12%
1
12.42%
13.22%
7.03%
2.49%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.59%
8.08%
4.30%
1.52%
0.41%
0.09%
3
3.09%
3.29%
1.75%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.94%
1.00%
0.53%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Sociedad
1-012.42%
2-07.59%
2-18.08%
3-03.09%
3-13.29%
3-21.75%
4-00.94%
4-11.00%
4-20.53%
4-30.19%
5-00.23%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.17%
1-113.22%
2-24.30%
3-30.62%
Rayo Vallecano
0-110.82%
0-25.76%
1-27.03%
0-32.04%
1-32.49%
2-31.52%
0-40.54%
1-40.66%
2-40.41%
3-40.17%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
34.71%
17.10%
4.21%
0.69%
1
19.63%
9.67%
2.38%
0.39%
2
5.55%
2.73%
0.67%
0.11%
3
1.05%
0.52%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Sociedad
1-019.63%
2-05.55%
2-12.73%
3-01.05%
3-10.52%
3-20.13%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-034.71%
1-19.67%
2-20.67%
Rayo Vallecano
0-117.10%
0-24.21%
1-22.38%
0-30.69%
1-30.39%
2-30.11%