Sevilla at Villarreal

Updated

Sevilla

24.2%25.7%50.2%
Sevilla WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.53
1Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Cadiz-180
W 3-2 at Levante+120
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+195
W 2-4 vs Granada-240
L 0-1 at Barcelona+700
Villarreal
Money Line
L 1-2 at Alaves+115
W 0-2 vs Valencia-275
W 2-1 at Getafe+150
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+165
L 0-2 at Levante-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+225+270+275+282+249+275+282+283.9
Villarreal+125+110+112+115+109+112+115+118.6
Draw+235+230+240+239+238+240+240+254.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+220---+200+255+255+283.9
Villarreal+130---+110+110+110+118.6
Draw+230---+215+240+240+254.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +280 to +270
Villarreal ML moved from +117 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sevilla ML
Villarreal ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2¼-115o2¼-122o2½+113-o2¼-122o2¼-115o2½+114
Underu2¼-102u2¼-105u2¼+102u2½-128-u2¼+102u2½-128u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+110--o2½-110o2½+105o2½+110o2½+114
Underu2½-135u2½-130--u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.09%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 413.47%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.35%
Exactly 321.44%
Exactly 56.77%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 037.53%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.02%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 021.57%
Exactly 133.08%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 312.97%
Exactly 44.98%
Exactly 51.53%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.22%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.21%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 063.52%
Exactly 128.83%
Exactly 26.54%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 049.15%
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 212.40%
Exactly 32.93%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals8.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals25.65%
Wins by 3+ goals10.36%
Wins by 4+ goals3.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal15.59%
Wins by 2 goals6.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals7.00%
Wins by 4 goals2.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.91%8.09%
1.571.56%28.44%
2.545.98%54.02%
3.524.54%75.46%
4.511.07%88.93%
5.54.30%95.70%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.47%37.53%
1.525.69%74.31%
2.57.67%92.33%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.43%21.57%
1.545.35%54.65%
2.519.97%80.03%
3.57.00%93.00%
4.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.78%31.22%
1.532.43%67.57%
2.511.28%88.72%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Villarreal
Score012345
0
8.09%
12.42%
9.52%
4.87%
1.87%
0.57%
1
7.93%
12.17%
9.33%
4.77%
1.83%
0.56%
2
3.89%
5.96%
4.57%
2.34%
0.90%
0.28%
3
1.27%
1.95%
1.49%
0.76%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.31%
0.48%
0.37%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Sevilla
1-07.93%
2-03.89%
2-15.96%
3-01.27%
3-11.95%
3-21.49%
4-00.31%
4-10.48%
4-20.37%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.09%
1-112.17%
2-24.57%
3-30.76%
Villarreal
0-112.42%
0-29.52%
1-29.33%
0-34.87%
1-34.77%
2-32.34%
0-41.87%
1-41.83%
2-40.90%
3-40.29%
0-50.57%
1-50.56%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Villarreal
Score01234
0
31.22%
22.18%
7.87%
1.86%
0.33%
1
14.17%
10.06%
3.57%
0.85%
0.15%
2
3.21%
2.28%
0.81%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Sevilla
1-014.17%
2-03.21%
2-12.28%
3-00.49%
3-10.35%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.22%
1-110.06%
2-20.81%
Villarreal
0-122.18%
0-27.87%
1-23.57%
0-31.86%
1-30.85%
2-30.19%
0-40.33%
1-40.15%