Real Madrid at Almería

Updated

Real Madrid

71.8%17.7%10.5%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.23Projected Goals 0.71
2Final Score 1

Almeria

Last Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Betis-165
T 1-1 at Cadiz+145
W 0-6 vs Levante-240
L 0-1 at Atletico Madrid+380
W 0-4 vs Espanyol-220
Almeria
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-245-230-240-230-259-230-230-205.0
Almería+550+618+600+625+642+625+642+653.9
Draw+390+391+390+400+405+400+405+412.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-245----300-230-230-205.0
Almería+625---+525+575+575+653.9
Draw+400---+350+380+380+412.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -224 to -230
Almería ML moved from +576 to +558

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -285 to -300
Almería ML moved from +525 to +510

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108o3-122o3-118o3-117-o3-117o3-117o3-104
Underu3¼-112u3+104u3-102u3-103-u3-103u3+104u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-115--o3-120o3-115o3-115o3-104
Underu3-105u3-105--u3-110u3-105u3-105u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 416.44%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.58%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.65%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 010.84%
Exactly 124.08%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 319.82%
Exactly 411.01%
Exactly 54.89%
Exactly 61.81%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 048.97%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 212.48%
Exactly 32.97%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.68%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 035.74%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 071.85%
Exactly 123.75%
Exactly 23.93%
Exactly 30.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals47.77%
Wins by 3+ goals26.20%
Wins by 4+ goals11.98%
Wins by 5+ goals4.63%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals2.72%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.97%
Wins by 2 goals21.56%
Wins by 3 goals14.22%
Wins by 4 goals7.35%
Wins by 5 goals3.11%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal7.69%
Wins by 2 goals2.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.11%20.89%
2.556.24%43.76%
3.533.85%66.15%
4.517.42%82.58%
5.57.76%92.24%
6.53.04%96.96%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.16%10.84%
1.565.08%34.92%
2.538.33%61.67%
3.518.51%81.49%
4.57.49%92.51%
5.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.03%48.97%
1.516.07%83.93%
2.53.59%96.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.32%25.68%
1.539.41%60.59%
2.515.68%84.32%
3.54.93%95.07%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Almeria
Score0123
0
5.31%
3.79%
1.35%
0.32%
1
11.79%
8.42%
3.01%
0.72%
2
13.10%
9.36%
3.34%
0.80%
3
9.71%
6.93%
2.47%
0.59%
4
5.39%
3.85%
1.37%
0.33%
5
2.40%
1.71%
0.61%
0.15%
Real Madrid
1-011.79%
2-013.10%
2-19.36%
3-09.71%
3-16.93%
3-22.47%
4-05.39%
4-13.85%
4-21.37%
4-30.33%
5-02.40%
5-11.71%
5-20.61%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.31%
1-18.42%
2-23.34%
3-30.59%
Almeria
0-13.79%
0-21.35%
1-23.01%
0-30.32%
1-30.72%
2-30.80%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Almeria
Score0123
0
25.68%
8.49%
1.40%
0.15%
1
26.42%
8.73%
1.44%
0.16%
2
13.59%
4.49%
0.74%
0.08%
3
4.66%
1.54%
0.25%
0.03%
4
1.20%
0.40%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-026.42%
2-013.59%
2-14.49%
3-04.66%
3-11.54%
3-20.25%
4-01.20%
4-10.40%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-025.68%
1-18.73%
2-20.74%
Almeria
0-18.49%
0-21.40%
1-21.44%
0-30.15%
1-30.16%