Real Sociedad at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Real Sociedad

16.0%22.5%61.4%
WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.81
1Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Almeria-275
W 2-1 at Barcelona+365
T 2-2 vs Girona-155
W 0-2 vs Real Madrid+140
W 2-0 at Osasuna+120
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 3-3 at Espanyol+130
W 0-3 vs Osasuna-225
L 0-1 at Elche-250
W 1-5 vs Cadiz-350
W 5-2 at Valladolid-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+300+253+240+245+259+245+259+256.8
Atlético Madrid-104+127+125+129+134+129+134+136.8
Draw+257+216+220+225+218+225+225+236.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+260---+240+230+240+256.8
Atlético Madrid+105----105+130+130+136.8
Draw+250---+215+220+220+236.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +245 to +235
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +115 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +250 to +230
No Steam Moves On Atlético Madrid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o2½+124o2¼-102o2¼+105o2½+139o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+114
Underu3-125u2½-146u2¼-118u2¼-125u2½-154u2¼-125u2½-146u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½+120--o2½+115o2½+125o2½+125o2¼+114
Underu2½+105u2½-140--u2½-145u2½-145u2½-140u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-132 to u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.38%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 414.20%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.23%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 57.40%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 045.06%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 214.32%
Exactly 33.80%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 016.37%
Exactly 129.62%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 316.17%
Exactly 47.32%
Exactly 52.65%
Exactly 60.80%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.91%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 069.14%
Exactly 125.52%
Exactly 24.71%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 043.26%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.19%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals4.75%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals35.78%
Wins by 3+ goals16.74%
Wins by 4+ goals6.41%
Wins by 5+ goals2.04%
Wins by 6+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal11.27%
Wins by 2 goals3.69%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.59%
Wins by 2 goals19.04%
Wins by 3 goals10.33%
Wins by 4 goals4.37%
Wins by 5 goals1.51%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.62%7.38%
1.573.40%26.60%
2.548.33%51.67%
3.526.55%73.45%
4.512.36%87.64%
5.54.96%95.04%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.94%45.06%
1.519.02%80.98%
2.54.70%95.30%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.63%16.37%
1.554.01%45.99%
2.527.21%72.79%
3.511.03%88.97%
4.53.71%96.29%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.09%29.91%
1.533.99%66.01%
2.512.21%87.79%
3.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
7.38%
13.35%
12.08%
7.29%
3.30%
1.19%
1
5.88%
10.64%
9.63%
5.81%
2.63%
0.95%
2
2.34%
4.24%
3.84%
2.32%
1.05%
0.38%
3
0.62%
1.13%
1.02%
0.62%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.12%
0.22%
0.20%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
Real Sociedad
1-05.88%
2-02.34%
2-14.24%
3-00.62%
3-11.13%
3-21.02%
4-00.12%
4-10.22%
4-20.20%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-07.38%
1-110.64%
2-23.84%
3-30.62%
Atletico Madrid
0-113.35%
0-212.08%
1-29.63%
0-37.29%
1-35.81%
2-32.32%
0-43.30%
1-42.63%
2-41.05%
3-40.28%
0-51.19%
1-50.95%
2-50.38%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
29.91%
25.06%
10.50%
2.93%
0.61%
0.10%
1
11.04%
9.25%
3.88%
1.08%
0.23%
0.04%
2
2.04%
1.71%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.21%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Sociedad
1-011.04%
2-02.04%
2-11.71%
3-00.25%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-029.91%
1-19.25%
2-20.72%
Atletico Madrid
0-125.06%
0-210.50%
1-23.88%
0-32.93%
1-31.08%
2-30.20%
0-40.61%
1-40.23%
0-50.10%