Real Madrid at Real Sociedad

Updated

Real Madrid

56.0%23.7%20.2%
Real Madrid WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.73Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 2

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Almeria-675
L 2-4 at Girona-165
W 0-2 vs Celta Vigo-350
W 2-0 at Cadiz-185
L 3-2 vs Villarreal-205
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-0 at Osasuna+120
T 0-0 at Betis+170
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-150
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+270
W 0-2 vs Getafe-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+193+227+210+240+240+240+240+252.0
Real Sociedad+142+139+135+136+139+136+139+144.3
Draw+249+217+230+215+225+215+230+226.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+180---+185+210+210+252.0
Real Sociedad+145---+130+140+140+144.3
Draw+250---+195+220+220+226.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 50.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +205 to +199
Real Sociedad ML moved from +157 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 50.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +180 to +170
Real Sociedad ML moved from +155 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2½+121o2¼-105o2¼-105o2½+129o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼+104
Underu2½-105u2½-143u2¼-115u2¼-115u2½-144u2¼-115u2½-143u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+115--o2½+110o2½+130o2½+130o2¼+104
Underu2½-115u2½-135--u2½-140u2½-150u2½-135u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.03%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 414.56%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.66%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.73%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 017.84%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 315.23%
Exactly 46.56%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 60.65%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 039.39%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.10%
Exactly 35.31%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.24%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 045.02%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.81%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 064.96%
Exactly 128.02%
Exactly 26.04%
Exactly 30.87%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals31.18%
Wins by 3+ goals13.90%
Wins by 4+ goals5.07%
Wins by 5+ goals1.53%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals6.77%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals17.28%
Wins by 3 goals8.83%
Wins by 4 goals3.53%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal13.41%
Wins by 2 goals5.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.97%7.03%
1.574.32%25.68%
2.549.54%50.46%
3.527.61%72.39%
4.513.05%86.95%
5.55.32%94.68%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.16%17.84%
1.551.41%48.59%
2.524.91%75.09%
3.59.68%90.32%
4.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.61%39.39%
1.523.91%76.09%
2.56.82%93.18%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.76%29.24%
1.534.80%65.20%
2.512.70%87.30%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
7.03%
6.55%
3.05%
0.95%
0.22%
1
12.11%
11.28%
5.26%
1.63%
0.38%
2
10.44%
9.73%
4.53%
1.41%
0.33%
3
6.00%
5.59%
2.60%
0.81%
0.19%
4
2.58%
2.41%
1.12%
0.35%
0.08%
5
0.89%
0.83%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
Real Madrid
1-012.11%
2-010.44%
2-19.73%
3-06.00%
3-15.59%
3-22.60%
4-02.58%
4-12.41%
4-21.12%
4-30.35%
5-00.89%
5-10.83%
5-20.39%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.03%
1-111.28%
2-24.53%
3-30.81%
Real Sociedad
0-16.55%
0-23.05%
1-25.26%
0-30.95%
1-31.63%
2-31.41%
0-40.22%
1-40.38%
2-40.33%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
29.24%
12.62%
2.72%
0.39%
1
23.34%
10.07%
2.17%
0.31%
2
9.31%
4.02%
0.87%
0.12%
3
2.48%
1.07%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.49%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-023.34%
2-09.31%
2-14.02%
3-02.48%
3-11.07%
3-20.23%
4-00.49%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-029.24%
1-110.07%
2-20.87%
Real Sociedad
0-112.62%
0-22.72%
1-22.17%
0-30.39%
1-30.31%
2-30.12%