Real Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Real Madrid

49.3%25.1%25.5%
Real Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.58Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Valladolid-230
W 1-2 vs Cadiz-500
L 2-3 at Rayo Vallecano-150
T 1-1 vs Girona-400
W 1-3 vs Sevilla-265
Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Valencia+110
W 1-0 at Espanyol+155
L 2-0 vs Mallorca-135
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+260
W 1-2 vs Almeria-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+110+106+105+110+110+110+110+114.5
Villarreal+220+256+250+245+261+245+261+268.7
Draw+280+266+265+270+273+270+273+280.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+105----110+105+105+114.5
Villarreal+235---+215+240+240+268.7
Draw+275---+250+270+270+280.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +100 to -101
Villarreal ML moved from +254 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Real Madrid ML
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2½-146o2¾-110o2¾-109o3+128o2¾-109o3+128o3+134
Underu3-122u2½+124u2¾-110u2¾-111u3-143u2¾-111u2½+124u3-134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+105--o3+100o2½-145o2½-145o3+134
Underu3-120u3-125--u3-130u2½+125u3-125u3-134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 414.44%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.84%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.62%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 020.63%
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 034.59%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.49%
Exactly 36.90%
Exactly 41.83%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 048.15%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 212.86%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 061.17%
Exactly 130.06%
Exactly 27.39%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals25.46%
Wins by 3+ goals10.44%
Wins by 4+ goals3.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals9.49%
Wins by 3+ goals2.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals15.02%
Wins by 3 goals6.99%
Wins by 4 goals2.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal15.96%
Wins by 2 goals6.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.02%25.98%
2.549.15%50.85%
3.527.27%72.73%
4.512.83%87.17%
5.55.20%94.80%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.37%20.63%
1.546.80%53.20%
2.521.11%78.89%
3.57.59%92.41%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.41%34.59%
1.528.68%71.32%
2.59.20%90.80%
3.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.54%65.46%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
7.14%
7.58%
4.02%
1.42%
0.38%
1
11.27%
11.96%
6.35%
2.25%
0.60%
2
8.89%
9.44%
5.01%
1.77%
0.47%
3
4.68%
4.96%
2.64%
0.93%
0.25%
4
1.85%
1.96%
1.04%
0.37%
0.10%
5
0.58%
0.62%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
Real Madrid
1-011.27%
2-08.89%
2-19.44%
3-04.68%
3-14.96%
3-22.64%
4-01.85%
4-11.96%
4-21.04%
4-30.37%
5-00.58%
5-10.62%
5-20.33%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-111.96%
2-25.01%
3-30.93%
Villarreal
0-17.58%
0-24.02%
1-26.35%
0-31.42%
1-32.25%
2-31.77%
0-40.38%
1-40.60%
2-40.47%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Villarreal
Score0123
0
29.46%
14.48%
3.56%
0.58%
1
21.53%
10.58%
2.60%
0.43%
2
7.87%
3.87%
0.95%
0.16%
3
1.92%
0.94%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.35%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-021.53%
2-07.87%
2-13.87%
3-01.92%
3-10.94%
3-20.23%
4-00.35%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-029.46%
1-110.58%
2-20.95%
Villarreal
0-114.48%
0-23.56%
1-22.60%
0-30.58%
1-30.43%
2-30.16%