Villarreal at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

11.7%18.0%70.3%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.23
1Final Score 1

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Mallorca-145
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+295
W 5-2 at Leganes-110
T 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano-130
L 2-1 vs Betis-115
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Leganes-200
W 0-1 vs Osasuna-345
W 2-1 at Barcelona+270
W 0-1 vs Getafe-255
W 3-4 vs Sevilla-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+506+294+270+305+280+305+305+318.9
Atletico Madrid-185-101+100+101-102+101+101+107.9
Draw+342+252+260+245+248+245+260+256.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+415-+292-+320+310+320+318.9
Atletico Madrid-160--105--165-115-105+107.9
Draw+320-+250-+280+270+280+256.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +291 to +280
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -139 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +310 to +292
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -135 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o2½-122o2½-120o2½-122o2½-123o2½-122o2½-120o2½-111
Underu3-125u2½+104u2½+100u2½+102u2½+101u2½+102u2½+104u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-140o2½-120-o3-105o2½-140o2½-120o2½-111
Underu3-120u2½+120u2½+100-u3-125u2½+120u3-125u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-105 to u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2½+125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.90%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 416.90%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.77%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.19%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 045.66%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.03%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 010.72%
Exactly 123.94%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 319.89%
Exactly 411.10%
Exactly 54.96%
Exactly 61.85%
Exactly 70.59%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.74%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 069.56%
Exactly 125.25%
Exactly 24.58%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 035.56%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals3.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals46.53%
Wins by 3+ goals25.45%
Wins by 4+ goals11.62%
Wins by 5+ goals4.49%
Wins by 6+ goals1.48%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal8.33%
Wins by 2 goals2.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals21.08%
Wins by 3 goals13.83%
Wins by 4 goals7.13%
Wins by 5 goals3.01%
Wins by 6 goals1.08%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.10%4.90%
1.580.33%19.67%
2.558.05%41.95%
3.535.65%64.35%
4.518.76%81.24%
5.58.56%91.44%
6.53.44%96.56%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.34%45.66%
1.518.54%81.46%
2.54.51%95.49%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.28%10.72%
1.565.34%34.66%
2.538.61%61.39%
3.518.71%81.29%
4.57.61%92.39%
5.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.26%24.74%
1.540.70%59.30%
2.516.57%83.43%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
4.90%
10.93%
12.21%
9.08%
5.07%
2.26%
1
3.84%
8.57%
9.57%
7.12%
3.97%
1.78%
2
1.50%
3.36%
3.75%
2.79%
1.56%
0.70%
3
0.39%
0.88%
0.98%
0.73%
0.41%
0.18%
Villarreal
1-03.84%
2-01.50%
2-13.36%
3-00.39%
3-10.88%
3-20.98%
Draw
0-04.90%
1-18.57%
2-23.75%
3-30.73%
Atletico Madrid
0-110.93%
0-212.21%
1-29.57%
0-39.08%
1-37.12%
2-32.79%
0-45.07%
1-43.97%
2-41.56%
3-40.41%
0-52.26%
1-51.78%
2-50.70%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
24.74%
25.58%
13.22%
4.56%
1.18%
0.24%
1
8.98%
9.28%
4.80%
1.65%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.63%
1.68%
0.87%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-08.98%
2-01.63%
2-11.68%
3-00.20%
3-10.20%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-024.74%
1-19.28%
2-20.87%
Atletico Madrid
0-125.58%
0-213.22%
1-24.80%
0-34.56%
1-31.65%
2-30.30%
0-41.18%
1-40.43%
0-50.24%