Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano 		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+440
-133
+415
-140
0.80
2.00		2.80
o2¼-105
u2¼-105
o2½+115
u2½-135
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Villarreal		35.0%
36.7%		28.4%
+315
+104
+280
+105
0
1		-0.73791-0.76613-1.00316
Alaves
Mallorca		23.6%
48.8%		27.6%
+243
+151
+235
+150
0
1		-0.94993-0.96451-0.71756
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid		31.1%
40.8%		28.1%
+126
+227
+125
+220
2
5		-1.21588-1.20491-0.89602
Levante
Getafe		26.1%
46.4%		27.5%
+308
+115
+315
+105
1
1		-1.16591-1.18817-1.29200
Espanyol
Girona		20.5%
55.5%		24.0%
+188
+168
+180
+155
0
0		-1.20631-1.24709-1.42553
Barcelona
Oviedo		78.8%
6.9%		14.3%
-452
+1225
-465
+1165
3
1		-0.22889-0.23585-0.23866
Elche
Osasuna		22.0%
52.1%		25.9%
+380
-108
+375
-110
1
1		-1.23258-1.21983-1.35197
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid		13.8%
65.2%		20.9%
+665
-212
+615
-210
2
3		-0.41832-0.43555-0.42696
Mallorca
Real Sociedad		23.9%
49.2%		27.0%
+430
-130
+400
-130
0
1		-0.59804-0.61563-0.70981
Alaves
Getafe		28.5%
41.2%		30.4%
+381
+109
+365
+110
1
1		-1.08853-1.07690-1.19221
Villarreal
Sevilla		40.5%
31.8%		27.6%
+123
+245
+120
+240
2
1		-0.83473-0.83034-0.90296
Real Madrid
Levante		69.2%
12.4%		18.3%
-279
+835
-325
+825
4
1		-0.31743-0.30055-0.36750
Valencia
Espanyol		25.8%
48.0%		26.1%
+233
+138
+230
+135
2
2		-1.20207-1.19899-1.31342
Girona
Athletic Club		10.5%
71.3%		18.2%
+665
-198
+690
-225
1
1		-1.49848-1.55827-1.70534
Getafe
Barcelona		4.0%
85.5%		10.5%
+1077
-397
+1100
-420
0
3		-0.25192-0.25746-0.15649
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca		52.0%
21.7%		26.2%
-129
+415
-130
+398
1
1		-1.31965-1.32377-1.33865
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.