Atletico Madrid at Real Sociedad

Updated

Atletico Madrid

46.2%27.5%26.2%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.36Projected Goals 0.95
1Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 3-0 at Girona-150
W 1-2 vs Valencia-325
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+165
L 1-3 at Barcelona+364
W 0-2 vs Oviedo-405
Real Sociedad
Money Line
T 1-1 at Levante+140
L 2-1 vs Girona-130
L 0-1 at Alaves+185
L 3-2 vs Villarreal+185
W 3-1 at Osasuna+182

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+106-103-108-115-115-115-103-107.0
Real Sociedad+250+300+295+325+325+325+325+339.8
Draw+255+260+255+278+278+278+278+291.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+105--110---110-110-107.0
Real Sociedad+255-+305--+290+305+339.8
Draw+255-+255--+270+270+291.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -103 to -110
Real Sociedad ML moved from +310 to +300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +105 to -105
Real Sociedad ML moved from +285 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2¾+103o2¾-102o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾+103o2¾+104
Underu2¼+102u2¾-114u2¾-118u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½-125o2½-130--o2½-120o2½-120o2¾+104
Underu2½-135u2½+105u2½+110--u2½+100u2½+110u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-110 to o2¾+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+105 to o2½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.89%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 025.64%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 038.60%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.49%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 053.25%
Exactly 133.56%
Exactly 210.57%
Exactly 32.22%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 064.36%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals21.90%
Wins by 3+ goals8.07%
Wins by 4+ goals2.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.56%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals9.19%
Wins by 3+ goals2.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals13.83%
Wins by 3 goals5.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal16.99%
Wins by 2 goals6.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.21%32.79%
2.540.74%59.26%
3.520.33%79.67%
4.58.53%91.47%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.36%25.64%
1.539.46%60.54%
2.515.72%84.28%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.40%38.60%
1.524.65%75.35%
2.57.17%92.83%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.73%34.27%
1.529.03%70.97%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
9.90%
9.42%
4.48%
1.42%
0.34%
1
13.47%
12.82%
6.10%
1.94%
0.46%
2
9.17%
8.73%
4.15%
1.32%
0.31%
3
4.16%
3.96%
1.88%
0.60%
0.14%
4
1.42%
1.35%
0.64%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.39%
0.37%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.47%
2-09.17%
2-18.73%
3-04.16%
3-13.96%
3-21.88%
4-01.42%
4-11.35%
4-20.64%
4-30.20%
5-00.39%
5-10.37%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-09.90%
1-112.82%
2-24.15%
3-30.60%
Real Sociedad
0-19.42%
0-24.48%
1-26.10%
0-31.42%
1-31.94%
2-31.32%
0-40.34%
1-40.46%
2-40.31%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
34.27%
15.10%
3.33%
0.49%
1
21.60%
9.52%
2.10%
0.31%
2
6.80%
3.00%
0.66%
0.10%
3
1.43%
0.63%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.23%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-021.60%
2-06.80%
2-13.00%
3-01.43%
3-10.63%
3-20.14%
4-00.23%
Draw
0-034.27%
1-19.52%
2-20.66%
Real Sociedad
0-115.10%
0-23.33%
1-22.10%
0-30.49%
1-30.31%