Athletic Club at Villarreal

Updated

Athletic Club

35.0%28.4%36.7%
Athletic Club WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.17
0Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Athletic Club
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Girona-225
L 0-2 at Valencia+135
L 1-0 vs Alaves-170
W 2-1 at Betis+141
W 0-1 vs Rayo Vallecano-135
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sevilla+120
W 1-2 vs Osasuna-132
L 0-2 at Atletico Madrid+360
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo+130
W 0-5 vs Girona-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+280+296+295+315+299+315+315+329.6
Villarreal+101+104+104+100+101+100+104+107.0
Draw+240+236+220+240+225+240+240+251.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+268-+280-+270+280+280+329.6
Villarreal+107-+105--115+105+105+107.0
Draw+230-+225-+210+235+235+251.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +305 to +295
Villarreal ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +290 to +280
Villarreal ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+105o2¼-122o2¼-123o2¼-124o2¼-123o2¼-122o2¼-112
Underu2½-105u2½-123u2¼+102u2¼+103u2¼+102u2¼+103u2½-123u2¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+105o2½+105-o2½+100o2½+105o2½+105o2¼-112
Underu2½-110u2½-125u2½-125-u2½-130u2½-125u2½-125u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.01%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 411.70%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.04%
Exactly 320.34%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 032.19%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 37.81%
Exactly 42.21%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 031.10%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.21%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.45%
Exactly 219.56%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 059.17%
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 058.23%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.51%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals14.15%
Wins by 3+ goals4.37%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals15.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.92%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletic Club
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal20.71%
Wins by 2 goals9.78%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals10.39%
Wins by 3 goals3.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.99%10.01%
1.566.95%33.05%
2.540.43%59.57%
3.520.09%79.91%
4.58.39%91.61%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.81%32.19%
1.531.32%68.68%
2.510.64%89.36%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.90%31.10%
1.532.58%67.42%
2.511.36%88.64%
3.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.55%34.45%
1.528.83%71.17%
2.59.27%90.73%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletic Club
Villarreal
Score012345
0
10.01%
11.69%
6.83%
2.66%
0.78%
0.18%
1
11.35%
13.25%
7.74%
3.01%
0.88%
0.21%
2
6.43%
7.51%
4.39%
1.71%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.43%
2.84%
1.66%
0.65%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.69%
0.80%
0.47%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-011.35%
2-06.43%
2-17.51%
3-02.43%
3-12.84%
3-21.66%
4-00.69%
4-10.80%
4-20.47%
4-30.18%
5-00.16%
5-10.18%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.01%
1-113.25%
2-24.39%
3-30.65%
Villarreal
0-111.69%
0-26.83%
1-27.74%
0-32.66%
1-33.01%
2-31.71%
0-40.78%
1-40.88%
2-40.50%
3-40.19%
0-50.18%
1-50.21%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletic Club
Villarreal
Score01234
0
34.45%
18.63%
5.04%
0.91%
0.12%
1
18.08%
9.78%
2.64%
0.48%
0.06%
2
4.74%
2.57%
0.69%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.83%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-018.08%
2-04.74%
2-12.57%
3-00.83%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.45%
1-19.78%
2-20.69%
Villarreal
0-118.63%
0-25.04%
1-22.64%
0-30.91%
1-30.48%
2-30.13%
0-40.12%