Villarreal at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

14.4%20.1%65.6%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.06
0Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo+130
W 0-5 vs Girona-230
W 0-2 vs Oviedo-254
W 2-4 vs Sevilla-130
W 3-2 at Barcelona+300
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 at Alaves-134
T 1-1 vs Elche-390
L 1-2 at Espanyol-155
W 4-0 at Girona+115
W 1-4 vs Betis-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+318+356+350+390+357+390+390+407.3
Atletico Madrid-120-125-125-130-131-130-125-120.2
Draw+276+278+260+276+272+276+278+289.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+355-+360-+335+355+360+407.3
Atletico Madrid-120--130--155-130-130-120.2
Draw+250-+270-+250+275+275+289.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +392 to +383
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -119 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -135 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-124o2½-124o2½-115o2½-115o2½-116o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2¾+104u2½+106u2½-105u2½-105u2½-104u2½-105u2½+106u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-140o2½-140o2½-120o2½-104
Underu2½+125u2½+100u2½+100-u2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-116 to u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.51%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 416.20%
Exactly 64.54%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 115.98%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.39%
Exactly 71.88%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 043.10%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 215.26%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 012.79%
Exactly 126.30%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.54%
Exactly 49.53%
Exactly 53.92%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 70.39%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.14%
Exactly 223.53%
Exactly 43.53%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.07%
Exactly 310.52%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 067.73%
Exactly 126.39%
Exactly 25.14%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 038.59%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.49%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals4.35%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals41.11%
Wins by 3+ goals21.10%
Wins by 4+ goals8.99%
Wins by 5+ goals3.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.99%
Wins by 7+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal9.99%
Wins by 2 goals3.35%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.42%
Wins by 2 goals20.02%
Wins by 3 goals12.11%
Wins by 4 goals5.75%
Wins by 5 goals2.24%
Wins by 6 goals0.74%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.49%5.51%
1.578.51%21.49%
2.555.36%44.64%
3.533.00%67.00%
4.516.79%83.21%
5.57.40%92.60%
6.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.90%43.10%
1.520.62%79.38%
2.55.36%94.64%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.21%12.79%
1.560.91%39.09%
2.533.86%66.14%
3.515.32%84.68%
4.55.79%94.21%
5.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.86%26.14%
1.538.79%61.21%
2.515.26%84.74%
3.54.74%95.26%
4.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
5.51%
11.34%
11.66%
7.99%
4.11%
1.69%
1
4.64%
9.54%
9.81%
6.73%
3.46%
1.42%
2
1.95%
4.01%
4.13%
2.83%
1.46%
0.60%
3
0.55%
1.13%
1.16%
0.79%
0.41%
0.17%
4
0.12%
0.24%
0.24%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
Villarreal
1-04.64%
2-01.95%
2-14.01%
3-00.55%
3-11.13%
3-21.16%
4-00.12%
4-10.24%
4-20.24%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.51%
1-19.54%
2-24.13%
3-30.79%
Atletico Madrid
0-111.34%
0-211.66%
1-29.81%
0-37.99%
1-36.73%
2-32.83%
0-44.11%
1-43.46%
2-41.46%
3-40.41%
0-51.69%
1-51.42%
2-50.60%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
26.14%
24.89%
11.85%
3.76%
0.90%
0.17%
1
10.18%
9.70%
4.62%
1.47%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.98%
1.89%
0.90%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-010.18%
2-01.98%
2-11.89%
3-00.26%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.14%
1-19.70%
2-20.90%
Atletico Madrid
0-124.89%
0-211.85%
1-24.62%
0-33.76%
1-31.47%
2-30.29%
0-40.90%
1-40.35%
0-50.17%