## Sevilla

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Villarreal

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**2.3%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.7%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Sevilla | +255 | +254 | +240 | +268 | +265 | +268 | +268 | +280.7 |

Villarreal | -105 | +102 | +100 | +101 | -102 | +101 | +102 | +107.9 |

Draw | +295 | +281 | +290 | +277 | +290 | +277 | +290 | +290.0 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Sevilla | +295 | - | +252 | +270 | +260 | +270 | +270 | +280.7 |

Villarreal | -120 | - | -103 | -125 | -130 | -105 | -103 | +107.9 |

Draw | +295 | - | +283 | +265 | +255 | +275 | +283 | +290.0 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.4%**

#### Implied Margin

**3.4%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3-102 | o3-104 | o3-102 | o3-103 | o3-101 | o3-103 | o3-101 | o3+106 |

Under | u3-118 | u3-114 | u3-118 | u3-117 | u3-115 | u3-117 | u3-114 | u3-106 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3-105 | o3-105 | o3+100 | o3-105 | o3-110 | o3-105 | o3+100 | o3+106 |

Under | u3-115 | u3-115 | u3-120 | u3-115 | u3-120 | u3-115 | u3-115 | u3-106 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 49.8% |

No | 50.2% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 8.13% |

Exactly 2 | 25.60% |

Exactly 4 | 13.44% |

Exactly 6 | 2.82% |

Exactly 8 | 0.32% |

Exactly 1 | 20.41% |

Exactly 3 | 21.42% |

Exactly 5 | 6.74% |

Exactly 7 | 1.01% |

Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 35.42% |

Exactly 1 | 36.76% |

Exactly 2 | 19.08% |

Exactly 3 | 6.60% |

Exactly 4 | 1.71% |

Exactly 5 | 0.36% |

Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 22.96% |

Exactly 1 | 33.78% |

Exactly 2 | 24.86% |

Exactly 3 | 12.19% |

Exactly 4 | 4.49% |

Exactly 5 | 1.32% |

Exactly 6 | 0.32% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 31.29% |

Exactly 2 | 21.12% |

Exactly 4 | 2.38% |

Exactly 6 | 0.11% |

Exactly 1 | 36.36% |

Exactly 3 | 8.18% |

Exactly 5 | 0.55% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 61.84% |

Exactly 1 | 29.72% |

Exactly 2 | 7.14% |

Exactly 3 | 1.14% |

Exactly 4 | 0.14% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 50.59% |

Exactly 1 | 34.47% |

Exactly 2 | 11.74% |

Exactly 3 | 2.67% |

Exactly 4 | 0.45% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Sevilla | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 9.86% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 2.78% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.59% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 23.31% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 9.08% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 2.84% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 0.70% |

Wins by 6+ goals | 0.11% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Sevilla

##### Villarreal

Sevilla | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 16.75% |

Wins by 2 goals | 7.08% |

Wins by 3 goals | 2.18% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.51% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 23.75% |

Wins by 2 goals | 14.23% |

Wins by 3 goals | 6.24% |

Wins by 4 goals | 2.14% |

Wins by 5 goals | 0.59% |

Wins by 6 goals | 0.11% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 91.87% | 8.13% |

1.5 | 71.46% | 28.54% |

2.5 | 45.86% | 54.14% |

3.5 | 24.44% | 75.56% |

4.5 | 11.01% | 88.99% |

5.5 | 4.27% | 95.73% |

6.5 | 1.45% | 98.55% |

#### Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 64.58% | 35.42% |

1.5 | 27.82% | 72.18% |

2.5 | 8.74% | 91.26% |

3.5 | 2.14% | 97.86% |

#### Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 77.04% | 22.96% |

1.5 | 43.26% | 56.74% |

2.5 | 18.40% | 81.60% |

3.5 | 6.21% | 93.79% |

4.5 | 1.73% | 98.27% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 68.71% | 31.29% |

1.5 | 32.35% | 67.65% |

2.5 | 11.23% | 88.77% |

3.5 | 3.06% | 96.94% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 8.13% | 11.97% | 8.80% | 4.32% | 1.59% | 0.47% |

1 | 8.44% | 12.42% | 9.14% | 4.48% | 1.65% | 0.49% |

2 | 4.38% | 6.44% | 4.74% | 2.33% | 0.86% | 0.25% |

3 | 1.52% | 2.23% | 1.64% | 0.80% | 0.30% | 0.09% |

4 | 0.39% | 0.58% | 0.43% | 0.21% | 0.08% | 0.02% |

Sevilla | |
---|---|

1-0 | 8.44% |

2-0 | 4.38% |

2-1 | 6.44% |

3-0 | 1.52% |

3-1 | 2.23% |

3-2 | 1.64% |

4-0 | 0.39% |

4-1 | 0.58% |

4-2 | 0.43% |

4-3 | 0.21% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 8.13% |

1-1 | 12.42% |

2-2 | 4.74% |

3-3 | 0.80% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

0-1 | 11.97% |

0-2 | 8.80% |

1-2 | 9.14% |

0-3 | 4.32% |

1-3 | 4.48% |

2-3 | 2.33% |

0-4 | 1.59% |

1-4 | 1.65% |

2-4 | 0.86% |

3-4 | 0.30% |

0-5 | 0.47% |

1-5 | 0.49% |

2-5 | 0.25% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 31.29% | 21.32% | 7.26% | 1.65% | 0.28% |

1 | 15.04% | 10.24% | 3.49% | 0.79% | 0.13% |

2 | 3.61% | 2.46% | 0.84% | 0.19% | 0.03% |

3 | 0.58% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.01% |

Sevilla | |
---|---|

1-0 | 15.04% |

2-0 | 3.61% |

2-1 | 2.46% |

3-0 | 0.58% |

3-1 | 0.39% |

3-2 | 0.13% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 31.29% |

1-1 | 10.24% |

2-2 | 0.84% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

0-1 | 21.32% |

0-2 | 7.26% |

1-2 | 3.49% |

0-3 | 1.65% |

1-3 | 0.79% |

2-3 | 0.19% |

0-4 | 0.28% |

1-4 | 0.13% |