Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Celta Vigo
Oviedo 		44.1%
28.0%		27.8%
+123
+267
+110
+270
1.32
0.99		2.31
o2¼+109
u2¼-118
o2-145
u2½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Real Sociedad
Levante 		39.6%
32.4%		28.0%
+145
+225
+130
+235
1.25
1.09		2.34
o2¼-114
u2¼+103
o2½+120
u2½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Alaves
Osasuna 		29.0%
42.0%		29.0%
+275
+131
+265
+125
0.96
1.22		2.18
o2+112
u1¾+110
o2+105
u2-115
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1300
-475
+1300
-510
0.60
2.65		3.25
o3½-115
u3½+102
o3½-110
u3½+120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Mallorca		31.5%
39.9%		28.6%
+228
+185
+190
+180
0
1		-1.06653-1.08114-0.91897
Atletico Madrid
Almeria		54.4%
20.3%		25.3%
-130
+414
-135
+390
1
1		-1.36739-1.34592-1.37547
Espanyol
Getafe		27.6%
43.2%		29.2%
+258
+151
+245
+140
2
1		-1.29536-1.28844-1.28841
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		34.8%
35.5%		29.7%
+280
+137
+250
+135
1
3		-0.88116-0.90342-1.03493
Mallorca
Osasuna		22.1%
52.1%		25.8%
+323
+120
+305
+110
0
1		-0.80605-0.79164-0.65293
Sevilla
Girona		48.1%
24.4%		27.5%
+230
+147
+210
+135
1
2		-0.91058-0.90429-1.41227
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid		27.5%
45.0%		27.4%
+175
+190
+160
+185
1
0		-1.02949-1.00239-1.29011
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		40.5%
32.4%		27.1%
+173
+192
+170
+180
1
1		-1.19498-1.18026-1.30556
Osasuna
Athletic Club		13.5%
65.7%		20.9%
+572
-163
+560
-175
0
0		-1.39521-1.38478-1.56681
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid		35.7%
35.0%		29.4%
+147
+228
+145
+210
1
0		-0.91689-0.94317-1.03089
Getafe
Sevilla		11.7%
67.3%		21.0%
+437
-113
+420
-120
1
2		-0.65168-0.65518-0.39564
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		38.8%
33.4%		27.8%
+220
+151
+205
+140
2
1		-1.18159-1.16603-0.94709
Real Sociedad
Almeria		40.0%
31.6%		28.3%
-102
+341
-105
+325
2
0		-0.70546-0.71832-0.91542
Girona
Espanyol		22.9%
50.7%		26.4%
+195
+168
+190
+150
2
2		-1.20471-1.24067-1.33184
Valladolid
Mallorca		21.5%
52.8%		25.7%
+350
+109
+310
+100
0
1		-0.75027-0.74345-0.63788
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.3%
25.5%		25.1%
+110
+261
+105
+240
1
2		-1.30479-1.27465-1.36516
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19069 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19660 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30368
-0.11299
-0.10708

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.