Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Celta Vigo
Oviedo 		44.1%
28.0%		27.8%
+126
+270
+115
+260
1.32
0.99		2.31
o2-127
u2¼-130
o2-130
u2½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Real Sociedad
Levante 		39.6%
32.4%		28.0%
+148
+207
+140
+225
1.25
1.09		2.34
o2¼-115
u2¼+104
o2½+110
u2½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Alaves
Osasuna 		29.0%
42.0%		29.0%
+275
+131
+275
+125
0.96
1.22		2.18
o1¾-119
u1¾+110
o2+115
u2-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1300
-475
+1250
-540
0.60
2.65		3.25
o3½-110
u3½+100
o3½-110
u3½+100
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cadiz
Valencia		12.1%
68.6%		19.4%
+530
-161
+500
-180
1
0		-1.85694-1.84099-2.11577
Celta Vigo
Elche		39.7%
31.7%		28.6%
+115
+308
+105
+300
1
0		-0.78320-0.76692-0.92480
Valencia
Villarreal		20.3%
56.9%		22.7%
+293
+108
+265
+110
1
2		-0.75309-0.78946-0.56356
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		18.1%
58.8%		23.1%
+379
-106
+340
-110
0
2		-0.68518-0.69933-0.53116
Espanyol
Barcelona		5.0%
83.6%		11.4%
+1300
-426
+1210
-480
1
1		-1.96976-1.95397-2.17463
Real Madrid
Valladolid		74.3%
9.3%		16.4%
-206
+605
-230
+585
2
0		-0.41714-0.41103-0.29772
Sevilla
Celta Vigo		33.5%
37.3%		29.2%
+255
+132
+240
+125
1
1		-1.20531-1.21295-1.23234
Mallorca
Getafe		31.6%
37.7%		30.7%
+225
+192
+205
+185
0
2		-1.09189-1.09527-0.97554
Elche
Atletico Madrid		6.9%
78.0%		15.2%
+1119
-352
+1050
-380
0
2		-0.27063-0.28482-0.24885
Athletic Club
Betis		33.2%
38.5%		28.3%
+152
+210
+145
+195
0
0		-1.22670-1.24289-1.26302
Rayo Vallecano
Girona		30.0%
41.1%		28.9%
+272
+114
+260
+110
2
2		-1.28049-1.26012-1.24078
Cadiz
Real Madrid		3.9%
86.0%		10.2%
+1351
-440
+1200
-500
1
2		-0.23104-0.23216-0.15122
Betis
Valencia		31.5%
41.8%		26.6%
+280
+123
+255
+120
0
3		-0.81470-0.83605-0.87120
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		34.4%
36.8%		28.8%
+320
+117
+275
+110
0
0		-1.18312-1.22799-1.24629
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca		55.4%
19.3%		25.3%
+128
+298
+120
+280
0
1		-1.40312-1.38478-1.64641
Villarreal
Espanyol		58.2%
18.9%		22.8%
+168
+182
+155
+185
1
0		-1.00578-0.98556-0.54113
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19069 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19660 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30368
-0.11299
-0.10708

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.