Athletic Club at Real Madrid

Updated

Athletic Club

10.9%18.4%70.7%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.15
1Final Score 1

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Athletic Club
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Elche-275
L 0-2 at Osasuna+120
W 1-2 vs Celta Vigo-140
L 1-5 at Villarreal+245
L 1-0 vs Betis-150
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sevilla+125
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-245
L 0-1 at Valencia+120
W 0-1 vs Getafe-160
L 0-2 at Real Sociedad+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+260+376+360+397+353+397+397+414.6
Real Madrid-105-145-150-150-139-150-139-137.8
Draw+308+319+330+327+329+327+330+342.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+255---+300+375+375+414.6
Real Madrid+100----160-150-150-137.8
Draw+270---+280+320+320+342.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +306 to +299
Real Madrid ML moved from -138 to -144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +310 to +300
Real Madrid ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-116o3-120o3-118o3-113o3¼+103o3-113o3-113o3-103
Underu2¾-104u3+102u3-102u3-107u3¼-117u3-107u3¼-117u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3-130--o3-130o3-120o3-120o3-103
Underu3-130u3+110--u3+100u3+100u3+110u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.75%
Exactly 223.45%
Exactly 415.94%
Exactly 64.33%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.42%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.11%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 049.39%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 212.29%
Exactly 32.89%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 011.64%
Exactly 125.03%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 319.30%
Exactly 410.38%
Exactly 54.46%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.65%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 072.14%
Exactly 123.56%
Exactly 23.85%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 036.94%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals2.81%
Wins by 3+ goals0.52%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals46.23%
Wins by 3+ goals24.80%
Wins by 4+ goals11.05%
Wins by 5+ goals4.16%
Wins by 6+ goals1.33%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletic Club
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal8.01%
Wins by 2 goals2.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.44%
Wins by 2 goals21.43%
Wins by 3 goals13.75%
Wins by 4 goals6.89%
Wins by 5 goals2.83%
Wins by 6 goals0.98%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.25%5.75%
1.577.83%22.17%
2.554.38%45.62%
3.532.06%67.94%
4.516.12%83.88%
5.57.01%92.99%
6.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.61%49.39%
1.515.77%84.23%
2.53.48%96.52%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.36%11.64%
1.563.33%36.67%
2.536.40%63.60%
3.517.10%82.90%
4.56.73%93.27%
5.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.35%26.65%
1.538.11%61.89%
2.514.81%85.19%
3.54.54%95.46%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
5.75%
12.37%
13.30%
9.53%
5.13%
2.20%
1
4.06%
8.72%
9.38%
6.72%
3.62%
1.56%
2
1.43%
3.08%
3.31%
2.37%
1.28%
0.55%
3
0.34%
0.72%
0.78%
0.56%
0.30%
0.13%
Athletic Club
1-04.06%
2-01.43%
2-13.08%
3-00.34%
3-10.72%
3-20.78%
Draw
0-05.75%
1-18.72%
2-23.31%
3-30.56%
Real Madrid
0-112.37%
0-213.30%
1-29.38%
0-39.53%
1-36.72%
2-32.37%
0-45.13%
1-43.62%
2-41.28%
3-40.30%
0-52.20%
1-51.56%
2-50.55%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
26.65%
26.54%
13.21%
4.39%
1.09%
0.22%
1
8.70%
8.67%
4.32%
1.43%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.42%
1.42%
0.70%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-08.70%
2-01.42%
2-11.42%
3-00.15%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-026.65%
1-18.67%
2-20.70%
Real Madrid
0-126.54%
0-213.21%
1-24.32%
0-34.39%
1-31.43%
2-30.23%
0-41.09%
1-40.36%
0-50.22%