Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atletico Madrid 		12.1%
68.7%		19.2%
+600
-152
+570
-160
0.75
2.10		2.85
o2-110
u2+104
o2-115
u2-105
Valencia
Oviedo 		36.7%
33.9%		29.4%
+166
+190
+155
+195
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¼+100
u2¼-111
o2-145
u2+130
Elche
Real Madrid 		7.5%
78.3%		14.1%
+785
-286
+750
-320
0.68
2.58		3.26
o3¼-102
u3¼-107
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Athletic Club
Girona 		36.9%
35.4%		27.7%
+156
+196
+160
+195
2.40
o2½+113
u2½-112
o2½+105
u2½-118
2nd H
63:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Sevilla		45.3%
27.5%		27.2%
-135
+392
-145
+400
3
0		-0.58472-0.57164-0.79235
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad		41.3%
30.1%		28.6%
+170
+197
+165
+185
1
1		-1.15617-1.18097-1.25117
Betis
Real Madrid		10.8%
72.4%		16.8%
+715
-261
+670
-280
1
2		-0.34990-0.35599-0.32353
Girona
Mallorca		23.0%
50.4%		26.6%
+312
+117
+285
+110
1
1		-1.16379-1.19942-1.32339
Cadiz
Celta Vigo		18.7%
57.0%		24.3%
+580
-155
+500
-160
0
3		-0.52270-0.53652-0.56207
Atletico Madrid
Valencia		53.5%
21.6%		24.9%
+100
+325
-110
+335
1
0		-0.72212-0.69752-0.62614
Athletic Club
Cadiz		38.1%
31.6%		30.3%
+110
+300
+105
+310
4
0		-0.77525-0.76585-0.96564
Real Madrid
Espanyol		67.6%
12.8%		19.7%
-195
+550
-210
+515
3
1		-0.42874-0.44091-0.39212
Valladolid
Barcelona		3.9%
86.5%		9.5%
+1800
-669
+1700
-750
0
4		-0.16954-0.17605-0.14497
Villarreal
Getafe		52.8%
21.9%		25.3%
-136
+445
-135
+425
0
0		-1.34389-1.30221-1.37563
Sevilla
Almeria		52.8%
21.4%		25.8%
+118
+265
+120
+250
1
2		-1.32118-1.29960-1.54314
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano		22.5%
51.2%		26.3%
+314
+105
+310
+100
2
0		-1.44817-1.46132-1.49068
Real Sociedad
Elche		46.5%
26.3%		27.2%
+111
+295
+105
+300
1
0		-0.77638-0.76692-0.76583
Osasuna
Betis		17.3%
61.3%		21.4%
+365
-117
+335
-115
0
1		-0.64773-0.67495-0.48887
Celta Vigo
Girona		39.0%
32.4%		28.6%
+180
+180
+170
+180
1
0		-1.05892-1.04214-0.94130
Getafe
Girona		29.1%
41.0%		29.9%
+285
+137
+260
+140
1
3		-0.88562-0.92576-0.89138
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.26118 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27647 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25857
0.00261
0.01790

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.