Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico Madrid
Girona 		56.9%
19.1%		24.0%
-145
+415
-150
+390
1.69
0.86		2.55
o2¾-106
u2¾-104
o2½-130
u2½+115
Barcelona
Villarreal 		58.5%
19.4%		22.1%
-127
+295
-135
+290
1.90
0.99		2.89
o3½-107
u3½+101
o3½-110
u3½+115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Rayo Vallecano
Elche 		40.3%
31.0%		28.7%
+227
+152
+225
+142
1.21
1.02		2.23
o2-118
u2+106
o2-125
u2+105
Getafe
Betis 		12.3%
68.0%		19.8%
+470
-127
+460
-145
0.73
2.03		2.76
o2+101
u2-104
o2-120
u2+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Levante		72.6%
11.0%		16.5%
-218
+629
-235
+600
3
2		-0.40158-0.40184-0.32070
Real Sociedad
Elche		46.5%
26.3%		27.2%
-115
+390
-115
+375
2
1		-0.64615-0.65635-0.76583
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		33.1%
38.4%		28.5%
+166
+200
+160
+190
0
1		-1.12015-1.11541-0.95620
Alaves
Osasuna		15.9%
61.9%		22.1%
+319
+105
+330
-105
0
1		-0.74602-0.72017-0.47946
Getafe
Real Madrid		5.2%
81.9%		12.9%
+762
-229
+750
-250
0
2		-0.38252-0.38462-0.19929
Athletic Club
Villarreal		17.0%
61.0%		22.0%
+194
+171
+190
+165
1
1		-1.18889-1.18630-1.51595
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca		61.0%
15.8%		23.2%
+110
+331
-110
+340
0
1		-1.47859-1.53003-1.84402
Betis
Cadiz		44.9%
28.0%		27.0%
+136
+249
+125
+240
2
1		-0.87460-0.86074-0.79995
Granada
Sevilla		10.7%
71.2%		18.0%
+790
-225
+750
-240
2
4		-0.38063-0.39304-0.33913
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		14.3%
65.1%		20.6%
+610
-174
+550
-180
0
1		-0.47366-0.49359-0.42883
Sevilla
Barcelona		14.7%
64.2%		21.1%
+730
-222
+700
-240
0
1		-0.39521-0.40004-0.44254
Cadiz
Valencia		20.2%
55.3%		24.4%
+312
+115
+280
+115
0
0		-1.20474-1.18101-1.40997
Rayo Vallecano
Granada		28.7%
44.5%		26.8%
+186
+186
+180
+170
2
2		-1.15525-1.18026-1.31569
Osasuna
Betis		17.3%
61.3%		21.4%
+337
+102
+335
-110
1
4		-0.72350-0.69752-0.48887
Elche
Athletic Club		13.9%
64.3%		21.8%
+725
-210
+700
-215
1
2		-0.41205-0.43209-0.44203
Alaves
Atletico Madrid		5.6%
81.2%		13.2%
+925
-250
+850
-275
1
4		-0.35435-0.35810-0.20832
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.86550 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.88904 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90808
-0.04258
-0.01904

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.