Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		18.2%
60.2%		21.6%
+450
-137
+410
-144
0.97
1.95		2.92
o2½+106
u2½-117
o2½-105
u2½-115
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Mallorca		52.9%
21.8%		25.4%
+153
+235
+145
+215
2
0		-0.93938-0.94819-0.63749
Athletic Club
Barcelona		10.0%
73.2%		16.8%
+622
-188
+560
-200
0
4		-0.44490-0.45497-0.31217
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		13.7%
66.6%		19.7%
+288
+130
+340
+125
0
1		-0.84788-0.80004-0.40698
Betis
Sevilla		17.1%
60.8%		22.1%
+263
+128
+230
+130
1
2		-0.84478-0.88201-0.49796
Espanyol
Villarreal		12.8%
68.4%		18.9%
+589
-180
+575
-200
1
5		-0.45199-0.45435-0.38038
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid		8.2%
75.5%		16.3%
+500
-130
+505
-155
0
2		-0.58960-0.54751-0.28136
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		69.0%
12.0%		19.0%
-171
+550
-180
+550
1
0		-0.48149-0.47068-0.37141
Alaves
Getafe		20.0%
53.7%		26.3%
+432
-103
+390
-110
2
2		-1.13809-1.18061-1.33503
Valencia
Mallorca		33.6%
37.3%		29.1%
+241
+138
+215
+145
1
0		-1.24667-1.19952-1.09145
Levante
Celta Vigo		21.2%
55.6%		23.2%
+490
-150
+430
-150
1
1		-1.40936-1.38553-1.46210
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		37.3%
33.9%		28.8%
+281
+133
+295
+120
0
4		-0.85099-0.81828-1.08069
Mallorca
Betis		11.9%
69.1%		18.9%
+650
-173
+525
-180
1
2		-0.45047-0.49335-0.36891
Barcelona
Valencia		59.1%
18.9%		22.0%
+103
+302
-105
+275
4
1		-0.71605-0.72054-0.52553
Sevilla
Espanyol		48.5%
24.5%		27.0%
+126
+280
+115
+270
1
1		-1.17461-1.19889-1.30937
Alaves
Real Madrid		4.0%
85.8%		10.2%
+1762
-457
+1400
-500
0
3		-0.20125-0.23256-0.15333
Getafe
Cadiz		31.7%
36.4%		32.0%
+185
+220
+170
+215
1
1		-1.05458-1.06178-1.14034
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99128 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97424 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.03192
-0.04064
-0.05768

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.