Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		18.2%
60.2%		21.6%
+460
-143
+430
-150
0.97
1.95		2.92
o2½+104
u2½-116
o2½+100
u2½-115
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna		54.7%
19.7%		25.5%
+127
+282
+120
+265
3
0		-0.83935-0.83829-0.60267
Villarreal
Granada		46.6%
28.2%		25.2%
-110
+346
-115
+345
4
1		-0.66840-0.67399-0.76342
Rayo Vallecano
Elche		32.3%
38.3%		29.3%
+175
+210
+175
+190
1
2		-1.15078-1.11106-0.95862
Levante
Atletico Madrid		6.4%
79.7%		13.9%
+1238
-372
+1100
-380
1
0		-2.61935-2.53275-2.74887
Athletic Club
Mallorca		37.4%
32.6%		30.0%
+172
+214
+165
+230
2
3		-1.16133-1.21882-1.11972
Barcelona
Espanyol		52.3%
25.1%		22.6%
-153
+467
-155
+425
2
2		-1.46318-1.43347-1.48899
Granada
Real Sociedad		20.9%
61.7%		17.4%
+942
-255
+900
-300
0
2		-0.34117-0.33647-0.48279
Betis
Levante		42.9%
31.6%		25.6%
+125
+240
+115
+220
4
2		-0.82638-0.81225-0.84688
Valencia
Alaves		35.2%
36.3%		28.5%
+207
+170
+180
+170
1
2		-1.00972-1.04214-1.01277
Getafe
Atletico Madrid		13.5%
70.0%		16.5%
+765
-190
+760
-210
3
4		-0.44040-0.43837-0.35725
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		31.4%
41.1%		27.5%
+300
+121
+295
+110
3
0		-1.41935-1.42437-1.15855
Real Madrid
Villarreal		42.9%
31.0%		26.1%
+168
+183
+155
+175
0
0		-1.26489-1.27247-1.34301
Celta Vigo
Cadiz		34.8%
35.8%		29.4%
+110
+345
+110
+290
0
0		-1.20838-1.19627-1.22458
Elche
Sevilla		13.1%
74.2%		12.8%
+920
-239
+850
-260
0
2		-0.37118-0.37392-0.29905
Espanyol
Athletic Club		26.5%
47.8%		25.7%
+559
-160
+510
-165
1
2		-0.50436-0.52232-0.73729
Granada
Real Madrid		11.9%
78.9%		9.2%
+1150
-359
+1100
-400
0
1		-0.27094-0.27194-0.23717
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99128 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97424 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.03192
-0.04064
-0.05768

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.