Villarreal at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Villarreal

48.9%25.6%25.5%
Villarreal WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.54Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 2

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Cadiz-210
W 2-1 at Girona+150
W 1-5 vs Athletic Club+110
T 1-1 at Valencia+175
W 1-3 vs Celta Vigo-135
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 1-2 at Real Madrid+600
L 2-1 vs Espanyol+100
L 1-3 at Betis+260
W 1-2 vs Valladolid-110
L 0-4 at Elche-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+120+122+120+120+129+120+129+127.5
Rayo Vallecano+225+210+200+210+209+210+210+220.6
Draw+250+276+280+289+286+289+289+302.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+125---+105+125+125+127.5
Rayo Vallecano+215---+175+190+190+220.6
Draw+250---+265+280+280+302.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +127 to +120
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +215 to +209

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +125 to +115
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +190 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o3+105o3-102o3+104o3+105o3+104o3+105o3+113
Underu2½-102u3-123u3-118u3-124u3-120u3-124u3-118u3-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+100--o3-110o3+100o3+100o3+113
Underu2½+125u3-120--u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-122 to o2¾-110
The Under moved from u3-113 to u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.64%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.92%
Exactly 63.07%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.65%
Exactly 321.66%
Exactly 57.16%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 021.49%
Exactly 133.04%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 313.02%
Exactly 45.00%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 035.57%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.00%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 049.07%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 212.43%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 061.97%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals24.92%
Wins by 3+ goals10.04%
Wins by 4+ goals3.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.83%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals9.33%
Wins by 3+ goals2.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.92%
Wins by 2 goals14.88%
Wins by 3 goals6.79%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal16.08%
Wins by 2 goals6.72%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.36%7.64%
1.572.70%27.30%
2.547.43%52.57%
3.525.78%74.22%
4.511.85%88.15%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.51%21.49%
1.545.47%54.53%
2.520.06%79.94%
3.57.04%92.96%
4.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.43%35.57%
1.527.66%72.34%
2.58.66%91.34%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.85%88.15%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
7.64%
7.90%
4.08%
1.41%
0.36%
1
11.75%
12.15%
6.28%
2.16%
0.56%
2
9.04%
9.34%
4.83%
1.66%
0.43%
3
4.63%
4.79%
2.47%
0.85%
0.22%
4
1.78%
1.84%
0.95%
0.33%
0.08%
5
0.55%
0.57%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-011.75%
2-09.04%
2-19.34%
3-04.63%
3-14.79%
3-22.47%
4-01.78%
4-11.84%
4-20.95%
4-30.33%
5-00.55%
5-10.57%
5-20.29%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.64%
1-112.15%
2-24.83%
3-30.85%
Rayo Vallecano
0-17.90%
0-24.08%
1-26.28%
0-31.41%
1-32.16%
2-31.66%
0-40.36%
1-40.56%
2-40.43%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
30.41%
14.55%
3.48%
0.56%
1
21.65%
10.36%
2.48%
0.40%
2
7.70%
3.69%
0.88%
0.14%
3
1.83%
0.88%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-021.65%
2-07.70%
2-13.69%
3-01.83%
3-10.88%
3-20.21%
4-00.33%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-030.41%
1-110.36%
2-20.88%
Rayo Vallecano
0-114.55%
0-23.48%
1-22.48%
0-30.56%
1-30.40%
2-30.14%