Rayo Vallecano at Real Madrid

Updated

Rayo Vallecano

5.4%12.0%82.6%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.74
1Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Espanyol+100
L 1-3 at Betis+260
W 1-2 vs Valladolid-110
L 0-4 at Elche-125
W 1-2 vs Barcelona+385
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Valencia+120
W 0-1 vs Getafe-160
L 0-2 at Real Sociedad+210
W 2-4 vs Almeria-675
L 2-4 at Girona-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+449+665+600+705+677+705+705+734.6
Real Madrid-161-245-260-255-246-255-245-225.6
Draw+316+402+420+415+427+415+427+433.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+400---+525+600+600+734.6
Real Madrid-135----265-245-245-225.6
Draw+265---+320+410+410+433.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +674 to +656
Real Madrid ML moved from -245 to -255

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Real Madrid: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Rayo Vallecano ML
Real Madrid ML moved from -230 to -245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+114o3-132o3-122o3-119o3½+134o3-119o3-119o3-108
Underu3-134u3+112u3+102u3-101u3½-149u3-101u3½-149u3+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3½+115--o3½+115o3-130o3-130o3-108
Underu2½+120u3½-135--u3½-145u3+110u3½-135u3+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-127 to o3-147
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3½+105
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.65%
Exactly 219.99%
Exactly 418.27%
Exactly 66.68%
Exactly 81.31%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.07%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 512.10%
Exactly 73.16%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 056.45%
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 29.23%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 06.46%
Exactly 117.69%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 415.16%
Exactly 58.31%
Exactly 63.79%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 80.51%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.58%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 44.97%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.09%
Exactly 312.97%
Exactly 51.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 076.74%
Exactly 120.32%
Exactly 22.69%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 028.13%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals1.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals62.40%
Wins by 3+ goals40.02%
Wins by 4+ goals21.79%
Wins by 5+ goals10.17%
Wins by 6+ goals4.11%
Wins by 7+ goals1.44%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal4.20%
Wins by 2 goals0.97%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.14%
Wins by 2 goals22.38%
Wins by 3 goals18.23%
Wins by 4 goals11.62%
Wins by 5 goals6.06%
Wins by 6 goals2.67%
Wins by 7 goals1.02%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.35%3.65%
1.584.28%15.72%
2.564.29%35.71%
3.542.22%57.78%
4.523.95%76.05%
5.511.85%88.15%
6.55.17%94.83%
7.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.55%56.45%
1.511.27%88.73%
2.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.54%6.46%
1.575.85%24.15%
2.551.61%48.39%
3.529.47%70.53%
4.514.31%85.69%
5.56.00%94.00%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.42%21.58%
1.545.33%54.67%
2.519.96%80.04%
3.56.99%93.01%
4.52.02%97.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.65%
9.99%
13.68%
12.50%
8.56%
4.69%
1
2.08%
5.71%
7.82%
7.15%
4.89%
2.68%
2
0.60%
1.63%
2.24%
2.04%
1.40%
0.77%
3
0.11%
0.31%
0.43%
0.39%
0.27%
0.15%
Rayo Vallecano
1-02.08%
2-00.60%
2-11.63%
3-00.11%
3-10.31%
3-20.43%
Draw
0-03.65%
1-15.71%
2-22.24%
3-30.39%
Real Madrid
0-19.99%
0-213.68%
1-27.82%
0-312.50%
1-37.15%
2-32.04%
0-48.56%
1-44.89%
2-41.40%
3-40.27%
0-54.69%
1-52.68%
2-50.77%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
21.58%
27.38%
17.36%
7.34%
2.33%
0.59%
0.12%
1
5.71%
7.25%
4.60%
1.94%
0.62%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.76%
0.96%
0.61%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Rayo Vallecano
1-05.71%
2-00.76%
2-10.96%
Draw
0-021.58%
1-17.25%
2-20.61%
Real Madrid
0-127.38%
0-217.36%
1-24.60%
0-37.34%
1-31.94%
2-30.26%
0-42.33%
1-40.62%
0-50.59%
1-50.16%
0-60.12%