UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-165
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+270
-330
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+450
-600
+462
-550
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-340
+280
-330
+290
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
-105
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+460
-600
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jul 11, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Matheus Nicolau
David Dvorak		42.4%
57.6%
+110
-120
+100
-115
Win
Loss		-0.76336-0.72743-0.85781
Luis Saldana
Bruno Souza		64.6%
35.4%
+130
-149
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.86555-0.87165-0.43748
Tom Aspinall
Alexander Volkov		49.8%
50.2%
-120
+120
-135
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60614-0.58291-0.69796
Dan Hooker
Arnold Allen		43.7%
56.3%
+100
-110
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.67015-0.68201-0.57494
Kazula Vargas
Paddy Pimblett		32.1%
67.9%
+535
-600
+530
-700
Loss
Win		-0.16867-0.16670-0.38687
Takashi Sato
Gunnar Nelson		25.8%
74.2%
+550
-640
+515
-500
Loss
Win		-0.16372-0.17824-0.29864
Luana Carolina
Molly McCann		45.3%
54.7%
+145
-155
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.51371-0.56639-0.60406
Jai Herbert
Ilia Topuria		15.4%
84.6%
+500
-600
+500
-600
Loss
Win		-0.17768-0.17768-0.16779
Makwan Amirkhani
Mike Grundy		46.8%
53.2%
+250
-275
+250
-260
Win
Loss		-1.27165-1.26068-0.75871
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Sergei Pavlovich		37.1%
62.9%
+300
-340
+290
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28030-0.29008-0.46397
Paul Craig
Nikita Krylov		46.8%
53.2%
+190
-210
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.08672-1.05317-0.75984
Timur Valiev
Jack Shore		60.2%
39.8%
+115
-126
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.60664-0.57304-0.92005
Elise Reed
Cory McKenna		21.6%
78.4%
+285
-335
+280
-300
Win
Loss		-1.37749-1.34807-1.53183
Cody Durden
Muhammad Mokaev		35.4%
64.6%
+425
-435
+425
-400
Loss
Win		-0.21047-0.21358-0.43748
Thiago Santos
Magomed Ankalaev		29.5%
70.5%
+650
-700
+600
-650
Loss
Win		-0.14183-0.15258-0.34942
Marlon Moraes
Song Yadong		34.0%
66.0%
+255
-280
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.32375-0.34163-0.41606
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.