UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Niko Price
Alex Oliveira		53.9%
46.1%
-200
+190
-195
+175
Win
Loss		-0.41690-0.43833-0.61828
Misha Cirkunov
Krzysztof Jotko		24.7%
75.3%
+100
-116
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.65805-0.61904-0.28405
Jared Gordon
Joe Solecki		35.5%
64.5%
+125
-121
+120
-125
Win
Loss		-0.80285-0.79851-1.03516
Antonina Shevchenko
Casey O'Neill		44.0%
56.0%
+234
-220
+240
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36150-0.34831-0.57955
Bethe Correia
Karol Rosa		32.6%
67.4%
+625
-700
+585
-600
Loss
Win		-0.14638-0.15727-0.39402
Devonte Smith
Jamie Mullarkey		61.9%
38.1%
-150
+140
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.89199-0.85085-0.96451
Gaetano Pirrello
Douglas Silva de Andrade		26.6%
73.4%
+235
-260
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34595-0.35037-0.30904
Johnny Eduardo
Alejandro Perez		33.1%
66.9%
+244
-250
+230
-255
Loss
Win		-0.34145-0.35197-0.40269
Brian Ortega
Alexander Volkanovski		29.4%
70.6%
+170
-174
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.45947-0.44150-0.34745
Lauren Murphy
Valentina Shevchenko		18.4%
81.6%
+950
-1380
+900
-1400
Loss
Win		-0.09726-0.10178-0.20273
Nick Diaz
Robbie Lawler		40.3%
59.7%
+150
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50566-0.52206-0.51527
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Curtis Blaydes		25.8%
74.2%
+270
-330
+280
-315
Loss
Win		-0.30171-0.29765-0.29895
Cynthia Calvillo
Jessica Andrade		34.3%
65.7%
+200
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40275-0.41690-0.41942
Merab Dvalishvili
Marlon Moraes		58.4%
41.6%
-275
+254
-270
+265
Win
Loss		-0.32585-0.31877-0.53861
Nasrat Haqparast
Dan Hooker		38.0%
62.0%
+135
-145
+130
-140
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.55696-0.47760
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Chris Daukaus		35.8%
64.2%
+185
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42006-0.41146-0.44323
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.