UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jordan Williams
Mickey Gall		57.8%
42.2%
-170
+161
-167
+150
Loss
Win		-0.97204-0.94143-0.86289
Julio Arce
Andre Ewell		69.7%
30.3%
-195
+187
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42338-0.42898-0.36080
Elise Reed
Sijara Eubanks		27.8%
72.2%
+355
-410
+320
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24168-0.26562-0.32617
Diana Belbita
Hannah Goldy		50.1%
49.9%
+103
-105
+105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71284-0.72940-0.69177
Thiago Moises
Islam Makhachev		18.7%
81.3%
+555
-700
+585
-700
Loss
Win		-0.16083-0.15431-0.20745
Miesha Tate
Marion Reneau		57.1%
42.9%
-147
+160
-185
+170
Win
Loss		-0.49852-0.45144-0.56105
Jeremy Stephens
Mateusz Gamrot		33.4%
66.6%
+238
-216
+225
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35965-0.36179-0.40681
Dustin Stoltzfus
Rodolfo Vieira		17.2%
82.8%
+186
-215
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41362-0.42898-0.18930
Gabriel Benitez
Billy Quarantillo		64.3%
35.7%
-150
+143
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.89936-0.87165-1.03033
Terrance McKinney
Daniel Rodriguez		17.0%
83.0%
+295
-311
+310
-350
Loss
Win		-0.28860-0.27275-0.18623
Montserrat Conejo
Amanda Lemos		14.3%
85.7%
+425
-525
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.20438-0.19464-0.15411
Kamuela Kirk
Khalid Taha		45.1%
54.9%
+127
-130
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.82551-0.82968-0.79638
Malcolm Gordon
Francisco Figueiredo		28.3%
71.7%
+235
-275
+260
-285
Win
Loss		-1.24029-1.29880-1.26323
Alan Baudot
Rodrigo Nascimento		31.2%
68.8%
+355
-360
+335
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24751-0.25754-0.37362
Dustin Poirier
Conor McGregor		32.9%
67.1%
-130
+112
-120
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60679-0.60614-1.11276
Gilbert Burns
Stephen Thompson		48.7%
51.3%
+142
-160
+145
-160
Win
Loss		-0.91198-0.91937-0.71963
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.