UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes
39.1%
60.9%
+150
-168
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal
28.3%
71.7%
+295
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy
19.3%
80.7%
+600
-750
+525
-600
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis
72.3%
27.7%
-375
+310
-375
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley
27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira
45.5%
54.5%
-112
+100
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria
25.4%
74.6%
+475
-650
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Belal Muhammad
Stephen Thompson
41.8%
58.2%
+200
-230
+195
-210
Win
Loss
-1.12846-1.09808-0.87199
Angela Hill
Amanda Lemos
41.7%
58.3%
+240
-265
+250
-270
Loss
Win
-0.34011-0.33041-0.53917
Raphael Assuncao
Ricky Simon
36.6%
63.4%
+275
-310
+275
-300
Loss
Win
-0.30209-0.30422-0.45538
Diego Ferreira
Mateusz Gamrot
41.6%
58.4%
+235
-265
+220
-240
Loss
Win
-0.34441-0.36652-0.53785
Darren Elkins
Cub Swanson
30.2%
69.8%
+152
-170
+150
-160
Loss
Win
-0.48874-0.50078-0.36025
Dustin Stoltzfus
Gerald Meerschaert
28.1%
71.9%
+225
-245
+200
-235
Loss
Win
-0.35997-0.38877-0.32984
Harry Hunsucker
Justin Tafa
16.6%
83.4%
+260
-305
+260
-280
Loss
Win
-0.31397-0.31990-0.18119
Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto
43.0%
57.0%
-160
+142
-155
+145
Loss
Win
-0.91198-0.91198-0.56196
Andre Ewell
Charles Jourdain
30.8%
69.2%
+197
-230
+200
-220
Loss
Win
-0.39412-0.39531-0.36804
Macy Chiasson
Raquel Pennington
60.9%
39.1%
+118
-127
+120
-130
Loss
Win
-0.59878-0.59012-0.93782
Josh Parisian
Don'Tale Mayes
35.3%
64.7%
+156
-165
+160
-165
Loss
Win
-0.48696-0.48102-0.43555
Matt Sayles
Jordan Leavitt
46.5%
53.5%
+130
-145
+125
-140
Loss
Win
-0.55080-0.56639-0.62467
Charles Oliveira
Dustin Poirier
36.5%
63.5%
+122
-133
+125
-130
Win
Loss
-0.81855-0.82055-1.00734
Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes
18.7%
81.3%
+700
-1010
+775
-900
Win
Loss
-2.11378-2.18320-1.67403
Geoff Neal
Santiago Ponzinibbio
59.0%
41.0%
+105
-120
+110
-125
Win
Loss
-0.75056-0.77319-0.52701
Kai Kara-France
Cody Garbrandt
43.1%
56.9%
+130
-141
+125
-135
Win
Loss
-0.85257-0.82968-0.84109
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.